Denny Sanford Premier Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NDSU -11.5✓ UND covered by 3.5
NDSU -11.5✓ UND covered by 3.5Closing total147.5Under by 15.5
 UND | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-16 | Record | 23-7 |
| 20-11 | ATS | 18-12 |
| 15-16 | O/U | 14-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UND 71–81 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 30 | 32 | 62 |
| NDSU | 38 | 32 | 70 |
1st half: UND 30, NDSU 38 (NDSU by 8). The model had NDSU by 5.4 and a total of 70.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UND | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-55 36% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 10-19 53% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli King G | 40 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Garrett Anderson G | 35 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Greyson Uelmen G | 29 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 7-11 | 2-2 |
| Zach Kraft G | 27 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Josh Jones C | 24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reggie Thomas G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| George Natsvlishvili F | 16 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Smith III G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Anthony Doppler, Wylee Delorme, Micah Curtis, Karson Ouse, Marley Curtis, Ryan Erikson, Matthew Bothun
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 36 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Trevian Carson G | 32 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 8-16 | 2-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 28 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 24 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Emil Skytt G | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Schoenrock, Dom Clay, Riley Saunders, Max Majerle, Carson Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -11.5
ModelNDSU -9.3
Model edgeUND +2.2
W UND covered
Total
Market147.5
Model151.6
Model edgeOver 4.1
L Under
Projected score
UND 71.2 · NDSU 80.5
UND 62 · NDSU 70
Win probability
NDSU 79%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -5.4
NDSU -8.0
Total
70.9
68 points
Projected score
UND 32.8 · NDSU 38.2
UND 30 · NDSU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -9.5
2 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -11.5
2 pts toward NDSU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UND +525 · NDSU -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -9.5 · closed NDSU -11.5 · moved 2 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -9.5
model NDSU -9.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| NDSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UND 2–8 NDSUNDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NDSU has won the last 2 meetings · UND 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | UND 63 @ NDSU 96 | NDSU -11.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | NDSU 83 @ UND 66 | UND +5.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | NDSU 77 @ UND 79 | UND +3.5 | UND W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UND 82 @ NDSU 87 | NDSU -9.5 | UND W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UND 68 @ NDSU 73 | NDSU -1.5 | NDSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Dakota
31 games played
Straight up
15-16
48% wins
Against the spread
20-11
65% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-16
48% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ALA | L 62-91 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 6 | vs UCR | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | vs CSUN | L 85-93 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @UCR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 19 | @ CREI | L 60-75 | +29.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 22 | vs CCU | L 58-75 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ WIU | W 78-69 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 28 | @ HAW | L 55-92 | +18.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 3 | @ IDHO | L 58-90 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONT | L 75-79 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 13 | vsWIU | L 66-69 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs WIN | W 90-88 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | @ NEB | L 55-78 | +29.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 1 | vs ORU | W 72-61 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs SDST | W 90-87 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | @ OMA | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ KC | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vs STMN | L 80-91 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs SDAK | W 96-80 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 22 | @ORU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ DEN | W 93-86 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @STMN | W 81-80 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 5 | vsOMA | W 76-73 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | vsDEN | L 79-98 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 11 | @SDAK | W 72-71 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | vsNDSU | L 66-83 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 19 | vsKC | W 85-70 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | @SDST | L 83-91 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 28 | @NDSU | L 63-96 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 6 | vsDEN | W 83-67 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Mar 7 | vsSTMN | W 67-66 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−5.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
−1.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+5.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
+14.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−13.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+6.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−18.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−20.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
+1.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+14.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
+6.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
+9.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+10.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
−5.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+3.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 80-91
−0.5
17
vsSDAK
SDAKW 96-80
+14.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 79-62
+18.5
24
@DEN
DENW 93-86
+12.5
29
@STMN
STMNW 81-80
+12.5
5
vsOMA
OMAW 76-73
+1.5
7
vsDEN
DENL 79-98
−22.5
11
@SDAK
SDAKW 72-71
+3.5
14
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-83
−11.5
19
vsKC
KCW 85-70
+5.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 83-91
+1.5
28
@NDSU
NDSUL 63-96
−21.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 83-67
+18.5
7
vsSTMN
STMNW 67-66
+12.5
covered 20didn’t cover 11avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
−17.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−2.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
+19.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+1.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
−20.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−14.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+0.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−2.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−3.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
−0.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+20.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
−18.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
−15.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+24.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
+22.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+13.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 80-91
+19.5
17
vsSDAK
SDAKW 96-80
+15.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 79-62
−8.5
24
@DEN
DENW 93-86
+16.5
29
@STMN
STMNW 81-80
+8.5
5
vsOMA
OMAW 76-73
−1.5
7
vsDEN
DENL 79-98
+15.5
11
@SDAK
SDAKW 72-71
−13.5
14
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-83
−0.5
19
vsKC
KCW 85-70
+4.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 83-91
+22.5
28
@NDSU
NDSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 83-67
−10.5
7
vsSTMN
STMNW 67-66
−20.5
over 15under 16avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
30 games played
Straight up
23-7
77% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vsCSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vsSDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsSDST | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTMN | W 68-65 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | @DEN | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ORU | W 86-58 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @SDAK | W 89-84 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | vsDEN | L 71-78 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | vsOMA | W 92-84 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 14 | @UND | W 83-66 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 18 | @SDST | W 74-66 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | vsKC | W 95-59 | -19.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 26 | @STMN | L 62-84 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 28 | vsUND | W 96-63 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 5 | vsORU | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 7 | vsOMA | W 74-50 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
+5.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
+0.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
+0.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
+17.5
31
@SDAK
SDAKW 89-84
−3.5
5
vsDEN
DENL 71-78
−19.5
7
vsOMA
OMAW 92-84
−1.5
14
@UND
UNDW 83-66
+11.5
18
@SDST
SDSTW 74-66
+6.5
21
vsKC
KCW 95-59
+16.5
26
@STMN
STMNL 62-84
−18.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 96-63
+21.5
5
vsORU
ORUW 76-65
−1.5
7
vsOMA
OMAW 74-50
+15.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
−10.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
−18.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
−1.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
−7.5
31
@SDAK
SDAKW 89-84
+18.5
5
vsDEN
DENL 71-78
−7.5
7
vsOMA
OMAW 92-84
+29.5
14
@UND
UNDW 83-66
−0.5
18
@SDST
SDSTW 74-66
−6.5
21
vsKC
KCW 95-59
+5.5
26
@STMN
STMNL 62-84
−9.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 96-63
+6.5
5
vsORU
ORUW 76-65
−6.5
7
vsOMA
OMAW 74-50
−22.5
over 14under 16avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Dakota
15-16 overall · 12-6 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Thomas67–66
- Wvs Denver83–67
- L@ N Dakota St63–96
- L@ S Dakota St83–91
- Wvs Kansas City85–70
1 day since their last game.
N Dakota St
23-7 overall · 16-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Omaha74–50
- Wvs Oral Roberts76–65
- Wvs North Dakota96–63
- L@ St Thomas62–84
- Wvs Kansas City95–59
1 day since their last game.