Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -7.5✓ VAL covered by 0.5
BRAD -7.5✓ VAL covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Under by 7.5
 VAL | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 14-8 |
| 14-7 | ATS | 8-14 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAL 70–76 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (70%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 33 | 32 | 65 |
| BRAD | 40 | 32 | 72 |
1st half: VAL 33, BRAD 40 (BRAD by 7). The model had BRAD by 3.5 and a total of 68.5 (actual 73).
Team stats
| VAL | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 4-10 40% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease F | 33 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 7-11 | 2-3 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 29 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Sader Servilus G | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Barnes, Kobe Walker, Joe Vick, Camden Webster, Jayden Watson, Nick Lombardi
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 31 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| AJ Smith F | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Corey Thomas F | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 24 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 25 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 7-11 | 1-1 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Kai Yu C | 13 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Dietrich Richardson G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Demarion Burch, Gus Rugaard, Gustavo Guimares, Handy Toussaint III, Jackson Seastrunk, Matthew Zobrist
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -7.5
no move
CloseBRAD -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
VAL +320 · BRAD -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -7.5 · unchangedmodel BRAD -6
model BRAD -6
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 | BRAD -6.1 | VAL +1.4 | W VAL covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 146.4 | Over 1.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VAL 70.1 · BRAD 76.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BRAD -3.5 | BRAD -7.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | VAL 32.5 · BRAD 36 | VAL 33 · BRAD 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| BRAD | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VAL 0–8 BRADBRAD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BRAD has won the last 8 meetings · VAL 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | VAL 65 vs BRAD 70 | BRAD -8.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | BRAD 76 @ VAL 65 | VAL +4.5 | BRAD W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | VAL 75 @ BRAD 81 | BRAD -14.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | BRAD 86 @ VAL 61 | VAL +10.5 | BRAD W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | BRAD 76 @ VAL 66 | VAL +8.5 | BRAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Valparaiso
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
14-7
67% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs UIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs ILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNI | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | vsSIU | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsBEL | L 77-78 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @ INST | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
+11.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
+4.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+4.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+6.5
covered 14didn’t cover 7avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
−32.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
−10.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+9.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+2.5
over 11under 10avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vsSIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs EVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs DRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | @EVAN | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ILST | L 62-88 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsINST | W 75-68 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsUIC | L 70-85 | -7.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @DRKE | W 87-73 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
−3.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
−20.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−1.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
−22.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
+41.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
+2.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−12.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
+10.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+9.5
over 12under 10avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Valparaiso
10-11 overall · 5-6 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana St76–72
- Lvs Belmont77–78
- Wvs S Illinois69–63
- Wvs Northern Iowa54–44
- L@ Belmont74–78
3 days since their last game.
Bradley
14-8 overall · 8-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Drake87–73
- Lvs UIC70–85
- Wvs Indiana St75–68
- L@ Illinois St62–88
- W@ Evansville94–90
3 days since their last game.