R.W. Harrison HPER Complex · at Miss Valley St · Conference game
Closing line
ALCN -5.5✓ ALCN covered by 2.5
ALCN -5.5✓ ALCN covered by 2.5Closing total140.5Under by 0.5
| ALCN | This season | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-18 | Record | 0-22 |
| 13-9 | ATS | 11-11 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 75–69 MVSU · ✓ ALCN (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 36 | 38 | 74 |
| MVSU | 25 | 41 | 66 |
1st half: ALCN 36, MVSU 25 (ALCN by 11). The model had ALCN by 4.0 and a total of 67.5 (actual 61).
Team stats
| ALCN | MVSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-47 53% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 12-23 52% |
| 23 3 off | Rebounds | 36 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Lancaster G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Nick Woodard SF | 27 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Jameel Morris G | 25 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Williams PG | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 20 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mike Jones, Alex Hawkins, William Henderson, Ray Glasgow
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X'Zaevion Barnett G | 40 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Mike James G | 39 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 12-21 | 3-10 |
| Mussa Mzein C | 37 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Daniel Mayfield F | 37 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 5-18 | 0-2 |
| Tyrone Iroghama G | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jonathan Pace C | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Derrick Singleton, Xzayvion Childress, Chance Sutton, Patrick Punch, Antonio Sisk, Lamont Sams, Delkedric Holmes, Samuel Murray, George Ivory III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALCN -5.5
ModelALCN -6.5
Model edgeALCN +1.0
W ALCN covered
Total
Market140.5
Model144.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
L Under
Projected score
ALCN 75.4 · MVSU 68.9
ALCN 74 · MVSU 66
Win probability
ALCN 71%
1st half
Spread
ALCN -4.0
ALCN -11.0
Total
67.5
61 points
Projected score
ALCN 35.8 · MVSU 31.8
ALCN 36 · MVSU 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALCN -6.5
1 → MVSU
CloseALCN -5.5
1 pt toward MVSU
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ALCN -245 · MVSU +200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALCN -6.5 · closed ALCN -5.5 · moved 1 toward MVSUmodel ALCN -6.5
model ALCN -6.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| MVSU | 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ALCN 8–0 MVSUALCN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ALCN has won the last 8 meetings · ALCN 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | ALCN 72 @ MVSU 64 | MVSU +18.5 | MVSU W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | MVSU 39 @ ALCN 86 | ALCN -17.5 | ALCN W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | MVSU 67 @ ALCN 74 | ALCN -17.5 | MVSU W |
| Feb 12, 2023-24 | ALCN 72 @ MVSU 55 | MVSU +10.5 | ALCN W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | ALCN 70 @ MVSU 60 | MVSU +5.5 | ALCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
22 games played
Straight up
4-18
18% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FSU | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 6 | @ USA | L 70-76 | +18.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ MINN | L 50-95 | +31.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ MD | L 64-84 | +29.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 13 | @ HOW | L 64-72 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ LSU | L 81-107 | +32.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 23 | @ OU | L 53-72 | +31.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs INST | W 81-74 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 29 | @ LT | L 58-83 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ ISU | L 68-132 | +42.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 19 | @ BAY | L 56-113 | +35.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 29 | @ MISS | L 43-79 | +28.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ JKST | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 10 | @ AAMU | W 64-62 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ ALST | L 66-81 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs TXSO | L 71-72 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | vs PV | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @ FAMU | L 58-66 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 26 | @ BCU | L 73-82 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs SOU | W 78-73 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 2 | vs GRAM | L 50-74 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 7 | @ UAPB | L 77-84 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
−4.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+12.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−13.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+9.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−1.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+6.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
+12.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+19.5
29
@LT
LTL 58-83
−8.5
3
@ISU
ISUL 68-132
−21.5
19
@BAY
BAYL 56-113
−21.5
29
@MISS
MISSL 43-79
−7.5
3
@JKST
JKSTL 86-89
+2.5
10
@AAMU
AAMUW 64-62
+11.5
12
@ALST
ALSTL 66-81
−5.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOL 71-72
+0.5
19
vsPV
PVW 76-75
+3.5
24
@FAMU
FAMUL 58-66
+0.5
26
@BCU
BCUL 73-82
+4.5
31
vsSOU
SOUW 78-73
+12.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAML 50-74
−18.5
7
@UAPB
UAPBL 77-84
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
+27.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+4.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−7.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+1.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−18.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+32.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
−35.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 58-83
+3.5
3
@ISU
ISUL 68-132
+48.5
19
@BAY
BAYL 56-113
+8.5
29
@MISS
MISSL 43-79
−26.5
3
@JKST
JKSTL 86-89
+29.5
10
@AAMU
AAMUW 64-62
−14.5
12
@ALST
ALSTL 66-81
−4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOL 71-72
−3.5
19
vsPV
PVW 76-75
−1.5
24
@FAMU
FAMUL 58-66
−17.5
26
@BCU
BCUL 73-82
+7.5
31
vsSOU
SOUW 78-73
+3.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAML 50-74
−19.5
7
@UAPB
UAPBL 77-84
+15.5
over 12under 10avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miss Valley St
22 games played
Straight up
0-22
0% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UAB | L 55-106 | +34.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ MUR | L 60-108 | +38.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ HAW | L 56-88 | +41.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs UTU | L 75-81 | +26.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs MAN | L 73-80 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ CSUB | L 70-86 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ TA&M | L 84-120 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ ULM | L 52-66 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 8 | @ KSU | L 49-108 | +38.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 16 | vs TAR | L 64-88 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | @FSU | L 49-96 | +40.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | @ WVU | L 51-86 | +42.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 29 | @OU | L 69-93 | +44.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vsALST | L 69-89 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | vsAAMU | L 51-71 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | @PV | L 69-70 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @TXSO | L 51-84 | +12.5 | L −20.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | vsBCU | L 63-79 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAMU | L 48-62 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @SOU | L 69-80 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsUAPB | L 70-78 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 7 | vsJKST | L 81-97 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
−16.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
−9.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
+9.5
14
vsUTU
UTUL 75-81
+20.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 73-80
+13.5
22
@CSUB
CSUBL 70-86
+5.5
25
@TA&M
TA&ML 84-120
+6.5
3
@ULM
ULML 52-66
−4.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 49-108
−20.5
16
vsTAR
TARL 64-88
−6.5
19
@FSU
FSUL 49-96
−6.5
22
@WVU
WVUL 51-86
+7.5
29
@OU
OUL 69-93
+20.5
3
vsALST
ALSTL 69-89
−6.5
5
vsAAMU
AAMUL 51-71
−9.5
10
@PV
PVL 69-70
+17.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOL 51-84
−20.5
17
vsBCU
BCUL 63-79
+0.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUL 48-62
−2.5
28
@SOU
SOUL 69-80
+9.5
31
vsUAPB
UAPBL 70-78
+2.5
7
vsJKST
JKSTL 81-97
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UAB
UABL 55-106
+15.5
7
@MUR
MURL 60-108
+8.5
12
@HAW
HAWL 56-88
−7.5
14
vsUTU
UTUL 75-81
+10.5
15
vsMAN
MANL 73-80
−1.5
22
@CSUB
CSUBL 70-86
+17.5
25
@TA&M
TA&ML 84-120
+49.5
3
@ULM
ULML 52-66
−31.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 49-108
−3.5
16
vsTAR
TARL 64-88
+9.5
19
@FSU
FSUL 49-96
−19.5
22
@WVU
WVUL 51-86
−0.5
29
@OU
OUL 69-93
+8.5
3
vsALST
ALSTL 69-89
+13.5
5
vsAAMU
AAMUL 51-71
−13.5
10
@PV
PVL 69-70
−13.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOL 51-84
−7.5
17
vsBCU
BCUL 63-79
−2.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUL 48-62
−29.5
28
@SOU
SOUL 69-80
+7.5
31
vsUAPB
UAPBL 70-78
+4.5
7
vsJKST
JKSTL 81-97
+34.5
over 11under 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
4-18 overall · 3-7 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ AR-Pine Bluff77–84
- Lvs Grambling50–74
- Wvs Southern78–73
- L@ Bethune73–82
- L@ Florida A&M58–66
2 days since their last game.
Miss Valley St
0-22 overall · 0-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Jackson St81–97
- Lvs AR-Pine Bluff70–78
- L@ Southern69–80
- Lvs Florida A&M48–62
- Lvs Bethune63–79
2 days since their last game.