EagleBank Arena · at George Mason · Conference game
Closing line
SLU -7.5✓ GMU covered by 36.5
SLU -7.5✓ GMU covered by 36.5Closing total146.5Under by 3.5
| SLU | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 26-3 | Record | 21-8 |
| 18-11 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 14-15 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SLU 77–72 GMU · ✗ SLU (68%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 34 | 23 | 57 |
| GMU | 43 | 43 | 86 |
1st half: SLU 34, GMU 43 (GMU by 9). The model had SLU by 3.2 and a total of 69.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SLU | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 34-59 58% |
| 4-24 17% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 26 12 off | Rebounds | 41 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari McCottry G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Trey Green G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Quentin Jones G | 25 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Dion Brown G | 20 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Robbie Avila C | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Paul Otieno F | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Thames G | 18 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 17 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Ishan Sharma F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jax Kerr F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Cam Hutson G | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Luke Laczkowski, Badara Diakite, Isaac Holmes, Jaden Schertz, Kalu Anya, Dylan Warlick
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 37 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 10-17 | 1-6 |
| Kory Mincy G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Masai Troutman G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Nick Ellington F | 29 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 22 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 19 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| T.J. Prosise G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan-Preston Mendy, Isaiah Skinn, Fatt Hill, Ben Woodward, Brayden O'Connor
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -7.5
ModelSLU -5.2
Model edgeGMU +2.3
W GMU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model148.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
L Under
Projected score
SLU 76.9 · GMU 71.7
SLU 57 · GMU 86
Win probability
SLU 68%
1st half
Spread
SLU -3.2
GMU -9.0
Total
69.5
77 points
Projected score
SLU 36.4 · GMU 33.1
SLU 34 · GMU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -7.5
no move
CloseSLU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SLU -305 · GMU +245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -7.5 · unchangedmodel SLU -5
model SLU -5
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| GMU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SLU 3–2 GMUSLU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 2 meetings · SLU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | GMU 76 @ SLU 74 | SLU -1.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SLU 67 @ GMU 79 | GMU -9.5 | GMU W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | GMU 54 vs SLU 82 | SLU -4.5 | SLU W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | GMU 62 @ SLU 63 | SLU -7.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 2, 2021-22 | SLU 92 @ GMU 90 | GMU -1.5 | SLU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Louis
29 games played
Straight up
26-3
90% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs SF | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs BCU | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNH | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vs JOES | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ VCU | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LAS | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vs FOR | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs RICH | W 88-63 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 20 | @ DUQ | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ SBU | W 97-62 | -8.5 | W +26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | vs GW | W 79-76 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 30 | vs DAY | W 102-71 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | @ DAV | W 91-82 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | vsLAS | W 82-58 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 13 | @ LUC | W 86-59 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 17 | @ URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vsVCU | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 24 | @DAY | L 62-77 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | vsDUQ | W 91-76 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 4 | vsLUC | W 79-65 | -21.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
−2.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+32.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
−20.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+3.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
+10.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
−5.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
+4.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
+10.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−4.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
+26.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−7.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
3
@DAV
DAVW 91-82
+0.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 82-58
+1.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 86-59
+9.5
17
@URI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 88-75
+5.5
24
@DAY
DAYL 62-77
−18.5
28
vsDUQ
DUQW 91-76
+1.5
4
vsLUC
LUCW 79-65
−7.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
+4.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+7.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
+14.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+19.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
−38.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
+3.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
−20.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
−11.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−7.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
−0.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−12.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
3
@DAV
DAVW 91-82
+21.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 82-58
−13.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 86-59
−10.5
17
@URI
URIL 76-81
+5.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 88-75
−1.5
24
@DAY
DAYL 62-77
−18.5
28
vsDUQ
DUQW 91-76
+6.5
4
vsLUC
LUCW 79-65
−11.5
over 14under 15avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vsUNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vsURI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vsVCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vsGW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 28 | vsDAV | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @SBU | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsDUQ | L 65-71 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsJOES | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | @RICH | L 70-82 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 13 | @GW | L 53-72 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | vsDAY | L 67-82 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 25 | @JOES | L 63-81 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 28 | vsSBU | W 71-58 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 3 | @VCU | L 65-70 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
+1.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+2.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−14.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
+1.5
10
@RICH
RICHL 70-82
−15.5
13
@GW
GWL 53-72
−15.5
18
vsDAY
DAYL 67-82
−17.5
25
@JOES
JOESL 63-81
−19.5
28
vsSBU
SBUW 71-58
+9.5
3
@VCU
VCUL 65-70
+4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
−22.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+7.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−7.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
−27.5
10
@RICH
RICHL 70-82
+12.5
13
@GW
GWL 53-72
−24.5
18
vsDAY
DAYL 67-82
+11.5
25
@JOES
JOESL 63-81
+7.5
28
vsSBU
SBUW 71-58
−17.5
3
@VCU
VCUL 65-70
−12.5
over 14under 15avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Louis
26-3 overall · 15-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola Chicago79–65
- Wvs Duquesne91–76
- L@ Dayton62–77
- Wvs VCU88–75
- L@ Rhode Island76–81
3 days since their last game.
George Mason
21-8 overall · 10-7 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ VCU65–70
- Wvs St Bonaventure71–58
- L@ Saint Joseph's63–81
- Lvs Dayton67–82
- L@ G Washington53–72
4 days since their last game.