Fifth Third Arena · at Cincinnati · Conference game
Closing line
CIN -1.5✓ CIN covered by 20.5
CIN -1.5✓ CIN covered by 20.5Closing total151.5Over by 6.5
 BYU | This season | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 20-9 | Record | 16-13 |
| 12-17 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 16-13 | O/U | 11-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BYU 77–75 CIN · ✗ BYU (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 31 | 37 | 68 |
| CIN | 43 | 47 | 90 |
1st half: BYU 31, CIN 43 (CIN by 12). The model had BYU by 1.6 and a total of 71.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| BYU | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 32-64 50% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 24 |
| 2 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dybantsa F | 38 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 7-21 | 1-8 |
| Robert Wright III G | 32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Keba Keita F | 21 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Khadim Mboup F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleksej Kostic G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 13 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brody Kozlowski, KJ Perry, Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor, Richie Saunders, Dawson Baker
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jizzle James G | 36 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 7-9 | 4-6 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 32 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-1 |
| Baba Miller F | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Sencire Harris G | 13 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Grant Darbyshire G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Shon Abaev, Tyler McKinley, Jalen Haynes, Kerr Kriisa
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCIN -1.5
ModelBYU -2.6
Model edgeBYU +4.1
L CIN covered
Total
Market151.5
Model151.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
BYU 77.2 · CIN 74.6
BYU 68 · CIN 90
Win probability
BYU 59%
1st half
Spread
BYU -1.6
CIN -12.0
Total
71.0
74 points
Projected score
BYU 36.3 · CIN 34.7
BYU 31 · CIN 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -1.5
no move
CloseCIN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BYU +110 · CIN -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -1.5 · unchangedmodel BYU -2.5
model BYU -2.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| CIN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BYU 1–2 CINCIN leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BYU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | BYU 66 @ CIN 84 | CIN -1.5 | CIN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CIN 52 @ BYU 80 | BYU -5.5 | BYU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | CIN 71 @ BYU 60 | BYU -9.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
BYU
29 games played
Straight up
20-9
69% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @ KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ASU | W 104-76 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTAH | W 89-84 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | vs TCU | W 76-70 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ TTU | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTAH | W 91-78 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | vs ARIZ | L 83-86 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ KU | L 82-90 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 4 | @ OKST | L 92-99 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 7 | vs HOU | L 66-77 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @ BAY | W 99-94 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 14 | vs COLO | W 90-86 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 18 | @ARIZ | L 68-75 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | vs ISU | W 79-69 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | vs UCF | L 84-97 | -14.5 | L −27.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 28 | @ WVU | L 71-79 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+10.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
−9.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−7.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
−6.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
−1.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
−5.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
−15.5
7
vsHOU
HOUL 66-77
−9.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 99-94
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 90-86
−11.5
18
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-75
+4.5
21
vsISU
ISUW 79-69
+12.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 84-97
−27.5
28
@WVU
WVUL 71-79
−10.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+11.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
+4.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−16.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
+0.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
+2.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
+12.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
+23.5
7
vsHOU
HOUL 66-77
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 99-94
+34.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 90-86
+14.5
18
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-75
−22.5
21
vsISU
ISUW 79-69
−6.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 84-97
+18.5
28
@WVU
WVUL 71-79
+8.5
over 16under 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cincinnati
29 games played
Straight up
16-13
55% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vsDAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vsCLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vsHOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vsCOLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ARIZ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ASU | L 68-82 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 28 | vsBAY | W 67-57 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @HOU | L 54-76 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 5 | vsWVU | L 54-59 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 8 | vsUCF | W 92-72 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @KSU | W 91-62 | -2.5 | W +26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | vsUTAH | W 69-65 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | @KU | W 84-68 | +8.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 24 | @TTU | L 68-80 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | vsOKST | W 91-68 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−12.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
−17.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
+6.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 54-76
−8.5
5
vsWVU
WVUL 54-59
−10.5
8
vsUCF
UCFW 92-72
+15.5
11
@KSU
KSUW 91-62
+26.5
15
vsUTAH
UTAHW 69-65
−8.5
21
@KU
KUW 84-68
+24.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 68-80
−5.5
28
vsOKST
OKSTW 91-68
+13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−24.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
+3.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
−21.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 54-76
−5.5
5
vsWVU
WVUL 54-59
−14.5
8
vsUCF
UCFW 92-72
+17.5
11
@KSU
KSUW 91-62
+5.5
15
vsUTAH
UTAHW 69-65
−5.5
21
@KU
KUW 84-68
+12.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 68-80
+4.5
28
vsOKST
OKSTW 91-68
+7.5
over 11under 18avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
BYU
20-9 overall · 8-8 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ West Virginia71–79
- Lvs UCF84–97
- Wvs Iowa State79–69
- L@ Arizona68–75
- Wvs Colorado90–86
3 days since their last game.
Cincinnati
16-13 overall · 8-8 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma St91–68
- L@ Texas Tech68–80
- W@ Kansas84–68
- Wvs Utah69–65
- W@ Kansas St91–62
3 days since their last game.