Conte Forum · at Boston College · Conference game
Closing line
ND -1.5✓ BC covered by 9.5
Closing total141.5Over by 4.5
| This season | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-17 | Record | 10-20 |
| 15-15 | ATS | 14-16 |
| 21-9 | O/U | 11-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ND 72–70 BC · ✗ ND (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| BC | 30 | 47 | 77 |
1st half: ND 33, BC 30 (ND by 3). The model had ND by 1.1 and a total of 66.6 (actual 63).
Team stats
| ND | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-62 35% | Field goals | 20-55 36% |
| 11-35 31% | 3-pointers | 6-28 21% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 31-41 76% |
| 37 7 off | Rebounds | 46 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 30 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 36 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Brady Koehler F | 31 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 3-13 | 2-7 |
| Cole Certa G | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-14 | 2-11 |
| Jalen Haralson G | 30 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Carson Towt F | 26 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan Imes G | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Matthew MacLellan F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryder Frost F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brady Stevens, Mark Zackery IV, Kebba Njie, Markus Burton, Tommy Ahneman, Luke Devine
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 38 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 7-20 | 3-12 |
| Chase Forte G | 37 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Aidan Shaw F | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Boden Kapke F | 28 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Toews G | 23 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 22 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Steger G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
Did not play: Jack DiDonna, Jack Bailey, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Jason Asemota, Marko Radunovic, Kany Musungay
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenND -1.5
no move
CloseND -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ND -122 · BC +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ND -1.5 · unchangedmodel ND -1.5 matches the line
model ND -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ND -1.5 | ND -1.7 | ND +0.2 | L BC covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 142.3 | Over 0.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ND 72 · BC 70.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ND -1.1 | ND -3.0 |
| 1H total | 66.6 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | ND 33.9 · BC 32.7 | ND 33 · BC 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | |
| 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ND 4–5 BCBC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ND has won the last 3 meetings · ND 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | BC 64 @ ND 68 | ND -7.5 | BC W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | ND 97 @ BC 94 | BC +3.5 | BC W |
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | BC 60 @ ND 78 | ND -11.5 | ND W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | BC 61 @ ND 58 | ND +1.5 | BC W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | ND 59 @ BC 63 | BC -9.5 | ND W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Notre Dame
30 games played
Straight up
13-17
43% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-9
70% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | @ | W 87-85 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 80-65 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 82-58 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 69-72 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 47-40 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 71-72 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 69-81 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 76-89 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 69-91 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 68-64 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 27 | vs | L 97-100 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 197 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 72-86 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 65-76 | +19.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 79-82 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | @ | L 81-89 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 24 | vs | L 56-100 | +16.5 | L −27.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 96-90 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 78-86 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LIU
W 89-67
+6.5
7
vs
DETM
W 102-70
+10.5
11
vs
EIU
W 78-58
−3.5
16
@
OSU
L 63-64
+8.5
19
vs
BELL
W 86-79
−17.5
24
vs
KU
L 61-71
−4.5
25
vs
RUTG
W 68-63
−1.5
26
vs
HOU
L 56-66
+1.5
2
vs
MIZ
W 76-71
+6.5
5
@
TCU
W 87-85
+8.5
10
vs
IDHO
W 80-65
+3.5
13
vs
EVAN
W 82-58
+9.5
21
vs
PFW
L 69-72
−14.5
30
@
STAN
W 47-40
+13.5
2
@
CAL
L 71-72
+2.5
10
vs
CLEM
L 61-76
−11.5
13
vs
MIA
L 69-81
−6.5
17
@
VT
L 76-89
−6.5
21
@
UNC
L 69-91
−8.5
24
vs
BC
W 68-64
−3.5
27
vs
UVA
L 97-100
+6.5
31
@
SYR
L 72-86
−7.5
4
@
LOU
L 65-76
+8.5
7
vs
FSU
L 79-82
−4.5
10
@
SMU
L 81-89
+2.5
14
vs
GT
W 89-74
+9.5
21
@
PITT
L 68-73
−1.5
24
vs
DUKE
L 56-100
−27.5
28
vs
NCSU
W 96-90
+12.5
4
vs
STAN
L 78-86
−6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
LIU
W 89-67
+20.5
7
vs
DETM
W 102-70
+24.5
11
vs
EIU
W 78-58
−7.5
16
@
OSU
L 63-64
−29.5
19
vs
BELL
W 86-79
+14.5
24
vs
KU
L 61-71
−11.5
25
vs
RUTG
W 68-63
−9.5
26
vs
HOU
L 56-66
−10.5
2
vs
MIZ
W 76-71
+0.5
5
@
TCU
W 87-85
+30.5
10
vs
IDHO
W 80-65
+0.5
13
vs
EVAN
W 82-58
+3.5
21
vs
PFW
L 69-72
−8.5
30
@
STAN
W 47-40
−56.5
2
@
CAL
L 71-72
+4.5
10
vs
CLEM
L 61-76
+3.5
13
vs
MIA
L 69-81
+6.5
17
@
VT
L 76-89
+21.5
21
@
UNC
L 69-91
+10.5
24
vs
BC
W 68-64
−5.5
27
vs
UVA
L 97-100
+51.5
31
@
SYR
L 72-86
+10.5
4
@
LOU
L 65-76
−14.5
7
vs
FSU
L 79-82
+6.5
10
@
SMU
L 81-89
+15.5
14
vs
GT
W 89-74
+12.5
21
@
PITT
L 68-73
+0.5
24
vs
DUKE
L 56-100
+14.5
28
vs
NCSU
W 96-90
+32.5
4
vs
STAN
L 78-86
+16.5
over 21under 9avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
30 games played
Straight up
10-20
33% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 66-73 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ | L 49-67 | +26.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 68-74 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 75-86 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 72-80 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 70-94 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 54-76 | +15.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
FAU
L 78-83
−3.5
6
vs
CIT
W 76-47
+13.5
11
vs
CCSU
L 59-60
−18.5
15
@
TEM
W 76-71
+8.5
18
vs
HAMP
W 63-52
−1.5
21
vs
DAV
L 49-59
−11.5
23
vs
TULN
L 90-93
−5.5
26
vs
HARV
W 73-60
+5.5
3
vs
LSU
L 69-78
−1.5
6
vs
NHVN
W 67-63
−13.5
10
vs
MASS
L 74-76
−3.5
22
vs
FDU
W 72-61
−5.5
28
vs
LEM
W 72-64
−4.5
3
@
GT
L 53-65
−5.5
6
vs
NCSU
L 71-79
+3.5
10
@
LOU
L 62-75
+8.5
13
@
CLEM
L 50-74
−8.5
17
vs
SYR
W 81-73
+13.5
21
vs
PITT
W 65-62
+5.5
24
@
ND
L 64-68
+3.5
31
vs
UVA
L 66-73
+6.5
3
@
DUKE
L 49-67
+8.5
7
vs
MIA
L 68-74
+2.5
11
vs
STAN
L 64-70
−2.5
14
vs
CAL
L 75-86
−7.5
17
@
FSU
L 72-80
+3.5
21
@
SMU
L 70-94
−8.5
25
vs
WAKE
W 68-67
+4.5
28
@
MIA
L 54-76
−6.5
3
@
VT
L 63-72
+2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
FAU
L 78-83
+12.5
6
vs
CIT
W 76-47
−21.5
11
vs
CCSU
L 59-60
−17.5
15
@
TEM
W 76-71
+4.5
18
vs
HAMP
W 63-52
−20.5
21
vs
DAV
L 49-59
−32.5
23
vs
TULN
L 90-93
+42.5
26
vs
HARV
W 73-60
−5.5
3
vs
LSU
L 69-78
−2.5
6
vs
NHVN
W 67-63
+3.5
10
vs
MASS
L 74-76
+6.5
22
vs
FDU
W 72-61
−8.5
28
vs
LEM
W 72-64
−10.5
3
@
GT
L 53-65
−27.5
6
vs
NCSU
L 71-79
+8.5
10
@
LOU
L 62-75
−13.5
13
@
CLEM
L 50-74
−12.5
17
vs
SYR
W 81-73
+12.5
21
vs
PITT
W 65-62
−10.5
24
@
ND
L 64-68
−5.5
31
vs
UVA
L 66-73
−2.5
3
@
DUKE
L 49-67
−25.5
7
vs
MIA
L 68-74
+0.5
11
vs
STAN
L 64-70
−5.5
14
vs
CAL
L 75-86
+16.5
17
@
FSU
L 72-80
+3.5
21
@
SMU
L 70-94
+13.5
25
vs
WAKE
W 68-67
−10.5
28
@
MIA
L 54-76
−13.5
3
@
VT
L 63-72
−7.5
over 11under 19avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Notre Dame
13-17 overall · 4-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stanford78–86
- Wvs NC State96–90
- Lvs Duke56–100
- L@ Pitt68–73
- Wvs Georgia Tech89–74
3 days since their last game.
Boston College
10-20 overall · 3-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia Tech63–72
- L@ Miami54–76
- Wvs Wake Forest68–67
- L@ SMU70–94
- L@ Florida St72–80
4 days since their last game.