Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -12.5✓ DUKE covered by 0.5
DUKE -12.5✓ DUKE covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Under by 13.5
 CLEM | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 20-5 | Record | 22-2 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 10-15 | O/U | 7-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLEM 62–75 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| DUKE | 31 | 36 | 67 |
1st half: CLEM 26, DUKE 31 (DUKE by 5). The model had DUKE by 8.0 and a total of 64.2 (actual 57).
Team stats
| CLEM | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 35% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter G | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-6 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 31 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 27 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Carter Welling F | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ace Buckner G | 22 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-4 |
| Nick Davidson F | 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Butta Johnson G | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Chase Thompson F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dallas Thomas F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Trent Steinour, Zac Foster, Blake Davidson
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 37 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 31 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Dame Sarr F | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Caleb Foster G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 19 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cayden Boozer G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Maliq Brown F | 18 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Darren Harris G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Sebastian Wilkins, Jack Scott, Cameron Sheffield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -12.5
ModelDUKE -13.6
Model edgeDUKE +1.1
W DUKE covered
Total
Market134.5
Model137.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
L Under
Projected score
CLEM 61.7 · DUKE 75.3
CLEM 54 · DUKE 67
Win probability
DUKE 88%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -8.0
DUKE -5.0
Total
64.2
57 points
Projected score
CLEM 28.1 · DUKE 36.1
CLEM 26 · DUKE 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -11.5
1 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -12.5
1 pt toward DUKE
Total
Open133.5
▲ 1
Close134.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CLEM +700 · DUKE -1100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -11.5 · closed DUKE -12.5 · moved 1 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -13.5
model DUKE -13.5
Opened 133.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CLEM 2–3 DUKEDUKE leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · CLEM 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | DUKE 71 @ CLEM 77 | CLEM +6.5 | CLEM W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CLEM 71 @ DUKE 72 | DUKE -7.5 | CLEM W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | DUKE 64 @ CLEM 72 | CLEM +2.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 10, 2021-22 | DUKE 82 @ CLEM 64 | CLEM +7 | DUKE W |
| Jan 25, 2021-22 | CLEM 69 @ DUKE 71 | DUKE -11.5 | CLEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clemson
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs BC | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIA | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs NCSU | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ GT | W 77-63 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsPITT | W 63-52 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 4 | @ STAN | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ CAL | W 77-55 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | vs VT | L 66-76 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
+8.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
+5.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
−6.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
+5.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
+0.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−1.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
+17.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
−18.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
−12.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
−15.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
+13.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
−2.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
−20.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−8.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
−7.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
+3.5
over 10under 15avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
24 games played
Straight up
22-2
92% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-17
29% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vsGT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vsSMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs WAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 3 | vsBC | W 67-49 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | @ UNC | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @PITT | W 70-54 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−8.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−9.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−25.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−13.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−12.5
over 7under 17avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clemson
20-5 overall · 10-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia Tech66–76
- W@ California77–55
- W@ Stanford66–64
- Wvs Pitt63–52
- W@ Georgia Tech77–63
3 days since their last game.
Duke
22-2 overall · 11-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pitt70–54
- L@ North Carolina68–71
- Wvs Boston College67–49
- W@ Virginia Tech72–58
- Wvs Louisville83–52
4 days since their last game.