Petersen Events Center · at Pitt · Conference game
Closing line
SMU -4.5✓ SMU covered by 14.5
SMU -4.5✓ SMU covered by 14.5Closing total147.5Over by 5.5
| SMU | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 9-14 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 78–74 PITT · ✓ SMU (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 34 | 52 | 86 |
| PITT | 32 | 35 | 67 |
1st half: SMU 34, PITT 32 (SMU by 2). The model had SMU by 2.8 and a total of 71.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| SMU | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-56 57% | Field goals | 22-61 36% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 8-33 24% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 35 15 off |
| 20 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 25 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 33 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 7-11 | 2-3 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 32 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 8-11 | 3-6 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 28 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Corey Washington F | 26 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 21 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sam Walters F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Chance Puryear G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nigel Walls F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Utter, Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Witherspoon G | 36 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 33 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Damarco Minor G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 26 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-14 | 2-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Macari Moore G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Brandin Cummings, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMU -4.5
ModelSMU -4.5
Model edge—
SMU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model151.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
SMU 78.1 · PITT 73.6
SMU 86 · PITT 67
Win probability
SMU 65%
1st half
Spread
SMU -2.8
SMU -2.0
Total
71.0
66 points
Projected score
SMU 36.9 · PITT 34.1
SMU 34 · PITT 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -4.5
no move
CloseSMU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SMU -205 · PITT +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -4.5 · unchangedmodel SMU -4.5 matches the line
model SMU -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| PITT | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 1–0 PITTSMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | PITT 63 @ SMU 83 | SMU -3.5 | SMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @ WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs FSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vs NCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
over 12under 10avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
23 games played
Straight up
9-14
39% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vsTA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsCLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsLOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsNCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsWAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
over 13under 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
15-7 overall · 4-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NC State83–84
- L@ Louisville74–88
- Wvs Florida St83–80
- W@ Wake Forest91–79
- Lvs Virginia68–72
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
9-14 overall · 2-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia47–67
- L@ Clemson52–63
- Wvs Wake Forest80–76
- Lvs NC State72–81
- L@ Boston College62–65
4 days since their last game.