Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
UNC -11.5✓ SYR covered by 1.5
UNC -11.5✓ SYR covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Over by 5.5
 SYR | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 17-4 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 72–82 UNC · ✓ UNC (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| UNC | 46 | 41 | 87 |
1st half: SYR 32, UNC 46 (UNC by 14). The model had UNC by 6.0 and a total of 71.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| SYR | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-65 45% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 25-35 71% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 7 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 8 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnie Freeman F | 35 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-4 |
| Nate Kingz G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| J.J. Starling G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Naithan George G | 30 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| William Kyle III F | 24 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kiyan Anthony G | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Betsey F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Akir Souare F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Luke Fennell, Calvin Russell III, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Bryce Zephir
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Caleb Wilson F | 32 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Derek Dixon G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 30 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Jaydon Young G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Bogavac G | 23 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Kyan Evans G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zayden High F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Smith, Ivan Matlekovic, John Holbrook, Isaiah Denis, Elijah Davis, James Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -9.5
2 → UNC
CloseUNC -11.5
2 pts toward UNC
Total
Open153.5
▲ 5
Close158.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +525 · UNC -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -9.5 · closed UNC -11.5 · moved 2 toward UNCmodel UNC -10.5
model UNC -10.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 5 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNC -11.5 | UNC -10.3 | SYR +1.2 | W SYR covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 153.7 | Under 4.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SYR 71.7 · UNC 82 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -6.0 | UNC -14.0 |
| 1H total | 71.9 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | SYR 33 · UNC 39 | SYR 32 · UNC 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| UNC | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SYR 1–4 UNCUNC leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · SYR 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UNC 88 @ SYR 82 | SYR +8.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | UNC 79 @ SYR 86 | SYR +8.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | SYR 67 @ UNC 103 | UNC -11.5 | UNC W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | UNC 72 @ SYR 68 | SYR +4.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 28, 2021-22 | SYR 79 @ UNC 88 | UNC -8.5 | UNC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vs FSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @ BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vs MIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @ NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs ND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
over 12under 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vsKU | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs RAD | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs NCCU | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs NAVY | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs SBU | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ UK | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs GTWN | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UPST | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs ETSU | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs OSU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs ECU | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vsFSU | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ SMU | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs WAKE | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ STAN | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAL | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vsND | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ UVA | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @GT | W 91-75 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
−5.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
+9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−14.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+4.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−14.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
+10.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
+9.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−11.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
+1.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−1.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+22.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
+0.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
−12.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
−7.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
−9.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
−13.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+8.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+11.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
+0.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
−9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−26.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+2.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−20.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
−32.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
−7.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−9.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
−15.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−16.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+5.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
−21.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
+24.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
+16.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
+37.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
+10.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+10.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+12.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+5.5
over 11under 10avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
13-9 overall · 4-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Notre Dame86–72
- L@ NC State68–88
- Lvs Miami76–85
- Lvs Virginia Tech74–76
- L@ Boston College73–81
2 days since their last game.
North Carolina
17-4 overall · 5-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia Tech91–75
- W@ Virginia85–80
- Wvs Notre Dame91–69
- L@ California78–84
- L@ Stanford90–95
2 days since their last game.