Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson · Conference game
Closing line
CLEM -4.5✓ CLEM covered by 5.5
CLEM -4.5✓ CLEM covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Under by 15.5
 MIA | This season | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| 15-2 | Record | 15-3 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 12-5 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIA 73–76 CLEM · ✓ CLEM (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| CLEM | 35 | 34 | 69 |
1st half: MIA 26, CLEM 35 (CLEM by 9). The model had CLEM by 1.6 and a total of 69.9 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MIA | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 34 11 off | Rebounds | 28 4 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 36 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 36 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 8-12 | 2-3 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 33 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tru Washington G | 26 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Malik Reneau F | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Allen G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Timo Malovec F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Treyvon Maddox, Marcus Allen, Jordyn Kee, JJ Laboy
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Hunter G | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jestin Porter G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Carter Welling F | 29 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Davidson F | 20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Butta Johnson G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Ace Buckner G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Dallas Thomas F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Thompson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent Steinour, Zac Foster, Blake Davidson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLEM -4.5
ModelCLEM -3.0
Model edgeMIA +1.5
L CLEM covered
Total
Market143.5
Model149.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
L Under
Projected score
MIA 73.1 · CLEM 76.1
MIA 59 · CLEM 69
Win probability
CLEM 60%
1st half
Spread
CLEM -1.6
CLEM -9.0
Total
69.9
61 points
Projected score
MIA 34.1 · CLEM 35.8
MIA 26 · CLEM 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -4.5
no move
CloseCLEM -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▼ 2
Close143.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MIA +190 · CLEM -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -4.5 · unchangedmodel CLEM -3
model CLEM -3
Opened 145.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| CLEM | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MIA 3–2 CLEMMIA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · CLEM has won the last 2 meetings · MIA 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | CLEM 65 @ MIA 55 | MIA +4.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | MIA 60 @ CLEM 77 | CLEM -6.5 | CLEM W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | CLEM 82 @ MIA 95 | MIA +1.5 | MIA W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MIA 78 @ CLEM 74 | CLEM -2.5 | MIA W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | CLEM 75 @ MIA 80 | MIA -2.5 | MIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami
17 games played
Straight up
15-2
88% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | vs PITT | W 76-69 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ WAKE | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs GT | W 91-81 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ ND | W 81-69 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
−2.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+5.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
−5.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
+0.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+0.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
+15.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
over 12under 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
18 games played
Straight up
15-3
83% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vsBYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs BC | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
−12.5
over 8under 10avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami
15-2 overall · 4-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Notre Dame81–69
- Wvs Georgia Tech91–81
- W@ Wake Forest81–77
- Wvs Pitt76–69
- Wvs North Florida105–67
4 days since their last game.
Clemson
15-3 overall · 5-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston College74–50
- W@ Notre Dame76–61
- Wvs SMU74–70
- W@ Pitt73–68
- W@ Syracuse64–61
4 days since their last game.