Reitz Arena · at Loyola MD · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -4.5✓ L-MD covered by 13.5
AMER -4.5✓ L-MD covered by 13.5Closing total147.5Under by 2.5
| AMER | This season | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | Record | 5-14 |
| 13-6 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 11-8 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 76–73 L-MD · ✗ AMER (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 28 | 40 | 68 |
| L-MD | 42 | 35 | 77 |
1st half: AMER 28, L-MD 42 (L-MD by 14). The model had AMER by 2.4 and a total of 69.8 (actual 70).
Team stats
| AMER | L-MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 24-29 83% |
| 28 2 off | Rebounds | 39 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 35 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 29 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Matt Mayock F | 25 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 29 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Dean Hogans G | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Luke Brown F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Noah Jones, Adrian Samuels, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince, Gibraltar Coleman
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 35 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 9-19 | 1-6 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 31 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| Tyson Commander G | 26 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Springer F | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jonas Sirtautas F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 31 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Emmett Adair F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Everett Barnes, Goap Kodi, Ben Menker, Garrett Brennan, Peter Sposito, Jacob Theodosiou
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAMER -4.5
ModelAMER -3.8
Model edgeL-MD +0.7
W L-MD covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
AMER 76.4 · L-MD 72.6
AMER 68 · L-MD 77
Win probability
AMER 63%
1st half
Spread
AMER -2.4
L-MD -14.0
Total
69.8
70 points
Projected score
AMER 36.1 · L-MD 33.7
AMER 28 · L-MD 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -3.5
1 → AMER
CloseAMER -4.5
1 pt toward AMER
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AMER -180 · L-MD +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -3.5 · closed AMER -4.5 · moved 1 toward AMERmodel AMER -4
model AMER -4
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| L-MD | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
AMER 6–3 L-MDAMER leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · AMER has won the last 3 meetings · AMER 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | L-MD 69 @ AMER 84 | AMER -8.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | L-MD 51 @ AMER 72 | AMER -4.5 | AMER W |
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | AMER 73 @ L-MD 54 | L-MD -1.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | L-MD 44 @ AMER 43 | AMER -8.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | AMER 66 @ L-MD 52 | L-MD +3.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
13-6
68% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsL-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vs HC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vs NAVY | W 65-51 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 18 | @ ARMY | W 78-67 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | vsCOLG | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @HC | W 76-67 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
+16.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
+2.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
−23.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
−2.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
−10.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+3.5
over 11under 8avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola MD
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @AMER | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAF | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ARMY | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ BUCK | L 67-70 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vsCOLG | L 80-86 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vsBU | W 74-57 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 19 | @ LEH | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsBUCK | W 67-62 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−6.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−13.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+12.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
+3.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+2.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
+18.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
−3.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−1.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−9.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+13.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
−6.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+15.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
−17.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
+19.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
−18.5
over 10under 9avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
11-8 overall · 6-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Holy Cross76–67
- Wvs Colgate70–66
- W@ Army78–67
- Wvs Navy65–51
- Lvs Holy Cross73–84
4 days since their last game.
Loyola MD
5-14 overall · 3-5 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell67–62
- L@ Lehigh81–88
- Wvs Boston U74–57
- Lvs Colgate80–86
- L@ Bucknell67–70
4 days since their last game.