Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St · Conference game
Closing line
YSU -2.5✓ YSU covered by 3.5
YSU -2.5✓ YSU covered by 3.5Closing total152.5Under by 30.5
 NKU | This season | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-11 | Record | 11-14 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 9-16 |
| 17-8 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 76–77 YSU · ✓ YSU (56%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 15 | 43 | 58 |
| YSU | 35 | 29 | 64 |
1st half: NKU 15, YSU 35 (YSU by 20). The model had YSU by 0.9 and a total of 71.4 (actual 50).
Team stats
| NKU | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-68 29% | Field goals | 21-50 42% |
| 8-31 26% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 10-18 56% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 43 19 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Elliott G | 39 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Oday G | 36 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-23 | 4-15 |
| Tae Dozier G | 29 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| LJ Wells F | 25 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Dan Gherezgher G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kael Robinson F | 28 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3-15 | 2-8 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Addison Archer F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mitchel Minor, Ryan Tolliver, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 35 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 34 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 9-12 | 1-3 |
| Jason Nelson G | 30 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Cam Polak G | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Blackshear G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 21 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Rich Rolf F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Drew King G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Jaiden Haynes, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tyler Robinett
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYSU -2.5
ModelYSU -1.8
Model edgeNKU +0.7
L YSU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
NKU 75.5 · YSU 77.2
NKU 58 · YSU 64
Win probability
YSU 56%
1st half
Spread
YSU -0.9
YSU -20.0
Total
71.4
50 points
Projected score
NKU 35.2 · YSU 36.2
NKU 15 · YSU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -2.5
no move
CloseYSU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NKU +114 · YSU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -2.5 · unchangedmodel YSU -2
model YSU -2
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% |
| YSU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NKU 7–3 YSUNKU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NKU has won the last 2 meetings · NKU 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | YSU 79 @ NKU 94 | NKU -4.5 | NKU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | YSU 79 @ NKU 88 | NKU -2.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | NKU 61 @ YSU 72 | YSU -2.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 28, 2023-24 | NKU 52 @ YSU 82 | YSU -6.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | YSU 76 @ NKU 79 | NKU -0.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-8
68% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vsYSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs DETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @ WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsGB | L 84-87 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsMILW | W 67-62 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 12 | @IUIN | W 84-81 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 18 | vsPFW | W 87-71 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−7.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
−10.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−1.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
−2.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−25.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
+21.5
7
vsMILW
MILWW 67-62
−27.5
12
@IUIN
IUINW 84-81
+0.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 87-71
+4.5
over 17under 8avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Youngstown St
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
9-16
36% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vsWRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vsDETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vsOAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @NKU | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vsPFW | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @WRST | L 83-93 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 17 | @CLE | L 78-80 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vsGB | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsMILW | L 64-65 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vsIUIN | W 85-76 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 4 | @PFW | W 90-61 | +2.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | vsRMU | L 66-72 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 12 | @OAK | W 86-82 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 15 | @DETM | L 70-76 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 18 | vsCLE | W 106-82 | -11.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
−10.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−6.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
−5.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
−10.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
−0.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−7.5
30
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-76
−1.5
4
@PFW
PFWW 90-61
+31.5
7
vsRMU
RMUL 66-72
−9.5
12
@OAK
OAKW 86-82
+7.5
15
@DETM
DETML 70-76
−10.5
18
vsCLE
CLEW 106-82
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 16avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
+26.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−5.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
+34.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
+5.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
+29.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−22.5
30
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-76
+7.5
4
@PFW
PFWW 90-61
+3.5
7
vsRMU
RMUL 66-72
−5.5
12
@OAK
OAKW 86-82
+12.5
15
@DETM
DETML 70-76
−5.5
18
vsCLE
CLEW 106-82
+30.5
over 14under 11avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
14-11 overall · 9-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue FW87–71
- W@ IU Indy84–81
- Wvs Milwaukee67–62
- Lvs Green Bay84–87
- L@ Oakland65–76
4 days since their last game.
Youngstown St
11-14 overall · 7-10 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cleveland St106–82
- L@ Detroit Mercy70–76
- W@ Oakland86–82
- Lvs Robert Morris66–72
- W@ Purdue FW90–61
4 days since their last game.