Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -1.5✓ FAIR covered by 15.5
SIE -1.5✓ FAIR covered by 15.5Closing total142.5Under by 12.5
| SIE | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 19-10 | Record | 17-11 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 11-18 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 74–72 FAIR · ✗ SIE (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 23 | 35 | 58 |
| FAIR | 37 | 35 | 72 |
1st half: SIE 23, FAIR 37 (FAIR by 14). The model had SIE by 1.3 and a total of 68.0 (actual 60).
Team stats
| SIE | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-62 35% | Field goals | 31-60 52% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 6-13 46% |
| 24 6 off | Rebounds | 49 14 off |
| 12 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 9-19 | 2-6 |
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 3-12 | 0-2 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-6 |
| Francis Folefac F | 28 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Jones G | 24 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Torres, Danny Murray, Owen Schlager, Antonio Chandler, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 37 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 9-17 | 1-6 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 34 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 25 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Deuce Turner G | 26 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Eric Mejia G | 25 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Michael Rogan G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Zan F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Brandon Benjamin, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Cam Estevez, Noah Best
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -1.5
no move
CloseSIE -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SIE -115 · FAIR -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -1.5 · unchangedmodel SIE -2
model SIE -2
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SIE -1.5 | SIE -2.0 | SIE +0.5 | L FAIR covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 145.3 | Over 2.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SIE 73.6 · FAIR 71.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SIE -1.3 | FAIR -14.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | SIE 34.6 · FAIR 33.3 | SIE 23 · FAIR 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| FAIR | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SIE 5–3 FAIRSIE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SIE has won the last 2 meetings · SIE 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | FAIR 77 @ SIE 85 | SIE -6.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | FAIR 64 @ SIE 68 | SIE -7.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | SIE 64 @ FAIR 88 | FAIR -17.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | FAIR 93 @ SIE 69 | SIE +3.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | FAIR 62 @ SIE 52 | SIE -4.5 | FAIR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs MRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @ MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vs MRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vs QUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @MRST | W 67-63 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @MRMK | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vsSPU | W 72-63 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
+6.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
+3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
−3.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
+17.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
−0.5
over 11under 18avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vsSPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vsRID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAN | W 61-55 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | @IONA | W 71-70 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | vsQUIN | L 65-72 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @SHU | W 92-87 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vsMRST | W 63-60 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 15 | @SPU | L 74-83 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vsSHU | W 78-68 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 22 | @QUIN | W 85-79 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−4.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
+2.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−4.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+6.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
+4.5
15
@SPU
SPUL 74-83
−5.5
20
vsSHU
SHUW 78-68
+5.5
22
@QUIN
QUINW 85-79
+12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−25.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
−5.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−17.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+23.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
−15.5
15
@SPU
SPUL 74-83
+15.5
20
vsSHU
SHUW 78-68
−12.5
22
@QUIN
QUINW 85-79
+13.5
over 14under 14avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
19-10 overall · 12-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Peter's72–63
- L@ Merrimack72–79
- W@ Marist67–63
- Lvs Quinnipiac62–74
- L@ Saint Peter's65–70
5 days since their last game.
Fairfield
17-11 overall · 10-8 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Quinnipiac85–79
- Wvs Sacred Heart78–68
- L@ Saint Peter's74–83
- Wvs Marist63–60
- W@ Sacred Heart92–87
5 days since their last game.