The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss · Conference game
Closing line
MISS -1.5✓ MISS covered by 5.5
MISS -1.5✓ MISS covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Over by 1.5
 MIZ | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 8-7 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 3-12 |
| 5-10 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 73–74 MISS · ✓ MISS (50%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 36 | 33 | 69 |
| MISS | 37 | 39 | 76 |
1st half: MIZ 36, MISS 37 (MISS by 1). The model had MIZ by 0.1 and a total of 68.8 (actual 73).
Team stats
| MIZ | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-51 49% | Field goals | 26-61 43% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 12-24 50% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 22 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 36 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 7-9 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Jayden Stone G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 29 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Crews G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Pierce G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Annor Boateng G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trent Burns C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Northweather, Sebastian Mack, Aaron Rowe, Jevon Porter
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Dia F | 34 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 8-17 | 2-3 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| James Scott F | 25 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 33 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 8-16 | 4-6 |
| Koren Johnson G | 22 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Corey Chest F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Travis Perry G | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Niko Bundalo, Max Smith, Zach Day, Hobert Grayson IV
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -1.5
no move
CloseMISS -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MIZ -105 · MISS -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -1.5 · unchangedmodel MISS -0
model MISS -0
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MISS -1.5 | MISS -0.1 | MIZ +1.4 | L MISS covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 147.0 | Over 3.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MIZ 73.4 · MISS 73.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIZ -0.1 | MISS -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.8 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | MIZ 34.4 · MISS 34.4 | MIZ 36 · MISS 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| MISS | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MIZ 6–2 MISSMIZ leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MISS 75 @ MIZ 83 | MIZ -3.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MISS 84 @ MIZ 78 | MIZ +1.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MIZ 76 @ MISS 79 | MISS -12.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | MISS 77 @ MIZ 82 | MIZ -9.5 | MISS W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | MIZ 89 @ MISS 77 | MISS +1.5 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
over 5under 10avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
3-12
20% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 12avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
over 9under 6avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
12-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kentucky73–68
- Wvs Florida76–74
- Lvs Illinois48–91
- Wvs Bethune82–60
- Wvs Alabama St85–77
3 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
8-7 overall · 0-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas87–94
- L@ Oklahoma70–86
- Wvs Alcorn St79–43
- Lvs NC State62–76
- Wvs Alabama A&M80–66
3 days since their last game.