When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
18 games · 2025 · Philadelphia Eagles · pick one to list those games
39% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 43% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 33% of games.
All 18 games
2025 · Philadelphia Eagles · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
PHI -5.5 | 44.5 | 13232642 | U | SF Q4 Lead lost |
23–19 |
2025 · Week 18 |
PHI -3 | 38.5 | 0172741 | Q4 | WSH Q4 Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 17 |
BUF -3.5 | 45.5 | 7131325 | U | PHI Q1 | 13–12 |
2025 · Week 16 |
PHI -7 | 43.5 | 10172447 | Q4 | PHI Q4 Late over |
29–18 |
2025 · Week 15 |
PHI -12.5 | 36.5 | 7172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
PHI -1.5 | 41.5 | 1016223841 | U | LAC Q1 | 19–22 |
2025 · Week 13 |
PHI -7 | 43.5 | 7131939 | U | CHI Q1 | 24–15 |
2025 · Week 12 |
PHI -2.5 | 48.5 | 14283545 | U | DAL Q4 | 21–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
PHI -2.5 | 45.5 | 3191925 | U | PHI Q1 | 9–16 |
2025 · Week 10 |
GB -1.5 | 44.5 | 00317 | U | PHI Q1 | 10–7 |
2025 · Week 8 |
PHI -7.5 | 43.5 | 14313758 | Q4 | PHI Q2 | 20–38 |
2025 · Week 7 |
PHI -2.5 | 44.5 | 10203750 | Q4 | PHI Q1 | 28–22 |
2025 · Week 6 |
PHI -7.5 | 41.5 | 23374451 | Q3 | NYG Q1 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
PHI -4.5 | 44.5 | 6132038 | U | DEN Q4 | 21–17 |
2025 · Week 4 |
PHI -3.5 | 43.5 | 17305156 | Q3 | PHI Q1 | 31–25 |
2025 · Week 3 |
PHI -3.5 | 45.5 | 17264759 | Q3 | PHI Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
26–33 |
2025 · Week 2 |
PHI -1.5 | 46.5 | 7202337 | U | PHI Q3 | 20–17 |
2025 · Week 1 |
PHI -7.5 | 47.5 | 14414444 | U | DAL Q1 | 20–24 |
SF
PHI
WSH
BUF
LV
LAC
CHI
DAL
DET
GB
NYG
MIN
DEN
TB
LAR
KCWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 9
Q2 11% 2
Q3 6% 1
Q4 33% 6
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 63% of 16 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 72% and covered 67% of 18 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.