When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2025 · New York Giants · pick one to list those games
65% went over. Of the 11 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 9% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 17 games
2025 · New York Giants · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 18 |
DAL -3 | 50.5 | 16263451 | Q4 | NYG Q2 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NYG -3 | 40.5 | 7203744 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 16 |
MIN -2.5 | 41.5 | 3232329 | U | MIN Q1 Late cover flip |
16–13 |
2025 · Week 15 |
NYG -3 | 45.5 | 3293650 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
29–21 |
2025 · Week 13 |
NE -7 | 46.5 | 17373748 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
15–33 |
2025 · Week 12 |
DET -14.5 | 50.5 | 1037375461 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Lead lost |
27–34 |
2025 · Week 11 |
GB -7.5 | 42.5 | 7263247 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CHI -4.5 | 44.5 | 7172744 | U | NYG Q2 Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SF -2.5 | 47.5 | 14243058 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
34–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
PHI -7.5 | 43.5 | 14313758 | Q4 | PHI Q2 | 20–38 |
2025 · Week 7 |
DEN -7.5 | 40.5 | 7131965 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Lead lost |
32–33 |
2025 · Week 6 |
PHI -7.5 | 41.5 | 23374451 | Q3 | NYG Q1 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
NO -2.5 | 42.5 | 10303340 | U | NO Q3 | 14–26 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LAC -5.5 | 43.5 | 7233939 | U | NYG Q1 | 18–21 |
2025 · Week 3 |
KC -5.5 | 44.5 | 3152231 | U | KC Q3 | 22–9 |
2025 · Week 2 |
DAL -4.5 | 44.5 | 623337477 | Q4 | NYG Q1 | 37–40 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WSH -5.5 | 45.5 | 7172027 | U | WSH Q1 | 6–21 |
DAL
NYG
LV
MIN
WSH
NE
DET
GB
CHI
SF
PHI
DEN
NO
LAC
KCWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 65% 11
Q2 24% 4
Q3 12% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 100% of 16 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 88% of 17 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 33% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.