When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2025 · Las Vegas Raiders · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 12% of games.
All 17 games
2025 · Las Vegas Raiders · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 18 |
KC -3.5 | 35.5 | 391226 | U | LV Q1 | 12–14 |
2025 · Week 17 |
NYG -3 | 40.5 | 7203744 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 16 |
HOU -14.5 | 39.5 | 7203044 | Q4 | LV Q1 | 21–23 |
2025 · Week 15 |
PHI -12.5 | 36.5 | 7172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
DEN -8.5 | 40.5 | 14212841 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LAC -9.5 | 40.5 | 7142845 | Q4 | LAC Q3 Late over |
14–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LV -3.5 | 36.5 | 14171734 | U | CLE Q1 | 24–10 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DAL -3.5 | 48.5 | 9334049 | Q4 | DAL Q2 | 33–16 |
2025 · Week 10 |
DEN -9.5 | 41.5 | 7141717 | U | LV Q1 | 7–10 |
2025 · Week 9 |
JAX -1.5 | 44.5 | 09154659 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 7 |
KC -13.5 | 45.5 | 7213131 | U | KC Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 6 |
LV -4.5 | 41.5 | 3102030 | U | LV Q2 | 10–20 |
2025 · Week 5 |
IND -7.5 | 46.5 | 3234346 | U | IND Q2 | 6–40 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LV -2.5 | 46.5 | 10233749 | Q4 | CHI Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 3 |
WSH -2.5 | 44.5 | 10304465 | Q4 | WSH Q1 | 24–41 |
2025 · Week 2 |
LAC -3.5 | 46.5 | 13232629 | U | LAC Q1 | 20–9 |
2025 · Week 1 |
NE -2.5 | 44.5 | 14172733 | U | LV Q3 | 20–13 |
KC
LV
NYG
HOU
PHI
DEN
LAC
CLE
DAL
JAX
TEN
IND
CHI
WSH
NEWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 47% 8
Q2 29% 5
Q3 12% 2
Q4 12% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 73% of 15 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 75% of 16 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 4 | 25% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.