When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2025 · Cleveland Browns · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 13% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 24% of games.
All 17 games
2025 · Cleveland Browns · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 18 |
CIN -8.5 | 47.5 | 13262938 | U | CLE Q1 | 20–18 |
2025 · Week 17 |
PIT -3.5 | 34.5 | 10161619 | U | CLE Q1 | 6–13 |
2025 · Week 16 |
BUF -10.5 | 41.5 | 14304043 | Q4 | CLE Q1 | 23–20 |
2025 · Week 15 |
CHI -7.5 | 38.5 | 14143134 | U | CHI Q1 | 3–31 |
2025 · Week 14 |
CLE -4.5 | 33.5 | 17313860 | Q3 | TEN Q1 | 31–29 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SF -5.5 | 35.5 | 7182534 | U | SF Q3 | 26–8 |
2025 · Week 12 |
LV -3.5 | 36.5 | 14171734 | U | CLE Q1 | 24–10 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BAL -7.5 | 37.5 | 6262639 | Q4 | CLE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
23–16 |
2025 · Week 10 |
CLE -2.5 | 37.5 | 21343447 | Q4 | NYJ Q1 | 20–27 |
2025 · Week 8 |
NE -6.5 | 40.5 | 10163745 | Q4 | NE Q3 | 13–32 |
2025 · Week 7 |
CLE -2.5 | 35.5 | 3233037 | Q4 | CLE Q1 | 6–31 |
2025 · Week 6 |
PIT -6.5 | 37.5 | 3122232 | U | PIT Q3 | 9–23 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIN -3.5 | 35.5 | 14173138 | Q4 | MIN Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 4 |
DET -10.5 | 44.5 | 14273044 | U | DET Q4 | 10–34 |
2025 · Week 3 |
GB -7.5 | 40.5 | 031023 | U | CLE Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
10–13 |
2025 · Week 2 |
BAL -12.5 | 46.5 | 3133058 | Q4 | BAL Q4 Late over |
17–41 |
2025 · Week 1 |
CIN -5.5 | 47.5 | 7243333 | U | CLE Q2 | 17–16 |
CLE
CIN
PIT
BUF
CHI
TEN
SF
LV
BAL
NYJ
NE
MIA
MIN
DET
GBWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 9
Q2 6% 1
Q3 18% 3
Q4 24% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 75% and covered 69% of 16 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 81% and covered 75% of 16 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 1 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.