When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2024 · Las Vegas Raiders · pick one to list those games
53% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 35% of games.
All 17 games
2024 · Las Vegas Raiders · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 18 |
LAC -6.5 | 41.5 | 6273354 | Q4 | LAC Q2 Late over |
34–20 |
2024 · Week 17 |
LV -2.5 | 37.5 | 3232635 | U | LV Q1 | 25–10 |
2024 · Week 16 |
LV -2.5 | 41.5 | 7202733 | U | LV Q4 | 14–19 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ATL -5.5 | 43.5 | 7121524 | U | ATL Q1 | 15–9 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TB -6.5 | 47.5 | 14242441 | U | TB Q4 | 13–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
KC -13.5 | 41.5 | 3132636 | U | LV Q1 | 17–19 |
2024 · Week 12 |
DEN -5.5 | 41.5 | 3222948 | Q4 | DEN Q4 | 29–19 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MIA -8.5 | 43.5 | 10162953 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
19–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
CIN -7.5 | 44.5 | 14274165 | Q4 | CIN Q3 | 24–41 |
2024 · Week 8 |
KC -8.5 | 42.5 | 14273047 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over |
27–20 |
2024 · Week 7 |
LAR -7.5 | 43.5 | 0202935 | U | LV Q4 Late cover flip |
15–20 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PIT -3.5 | 36.5 | 10192945 | Q4 | PIT Q2 Late over |
32–13 |
2024 · Week 5 |
DEN -2.5 | 35.5 | 10233052 | Q4 | DEN Q2 | 18–34 |
2024 · Week 4 |
CLE -2.5 | 38.5 | 10203036 | U | LV Q2 | 16–20 |
2024 · Week 3 |
LV -5.5 | 40.5 | 14283458 | Q4 | CAR Q1 | 36–22 |
2024 · Week 2 |
BAL -8.5 | 42.5 | 3152949 | Q4 | LV Q1 Late over Lead lost |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 1 |
LAC -3 | 40.5 | 10131632 | U | LAC Q4 | 10–22 |
LAC
LV
NO
JAX
ATL
TB
KC
DEN
MIA
CIN
LAR
PIT
CLE
CAR
BALWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 35% 6
Q2 24% 4
Q3 6% 1
Q4 35% 6
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 81% and covered 63% of 16 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 71% of 17 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.