When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2024 · Carolina Panthers · pick one to list those games
76% went over. Of the 13 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 54% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 17 games
2024 · Carolina Panthers · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 18 |
ATL -7.5 | 48.5 | 641557682 | Q3 | CAR Q1 | 44–38 |
2024 · Week 17 |
TB -9.5 | 47.5 | 17415562 | Q3 | TB Q2 | 14–48 |
2024 · Week 16 |
ARI -5.5 | 47.5 | 737436066 | Q4 | CAR Q1 | 30–36 |
2024 · Week 15 |
CAR -2.5 | 41.5 | 0173144 | Q4 | DAL Q1 | 30–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
PHI -13.5 | 44.5 | 3243038 | U | CAR Q1 | 16–22 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TB -6.5 | 46.5 | 1023264649 | OT | CAR Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 12 |
KC -11.5 | 42.5 | 13294357 | Q3 | CAR Q1 | 30–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NYG -6.5 | 40.5 | 710243437 | U | CAR Q1 | 17–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
NO -7.5 | 43.5 | 6233345 | Q4 | CAR Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–23 |
2024 · Week 8 |
DEN -12.5 | 40.5 | 7283542 | Q4 | DEN Q2 Late over |
14–28 |
2024 · Week 7 |
WSH -10.5 | 50.5 | 10273747 | U | WSH Q2 | 7–40 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ATL -6.5 | 45.5 | 14394858 | Q3 | ATL Q3 | 38–20 |
2024 · Week 5 |
CHI -3.5 | 39.5 | 14344046 | Q3 | CHI Q2 | 10–36 |
2024 · Week 4 |
CIN -5.5 | 47.5 | 7355258 | Q3 | CIN Q1 | 34–24 |
2024 · Week 3 |
LV -5.5 | 40.5 | 14283458 | Q4 | CAR Q1 | 36–22 |
2024 · Week 2 |
LAC -4.5 | 38.5 | 6202629 | U | LAC Q1 | 26–3 |
2024 · Week 1 |
NO -3.5 | 41.5 | 17334757 | Q3 | NO Q1 | 10–47 |
CAR
ATL
TB
ARI
DAL
PHI
KC
NYG
NO
DEN
WSH
CHI
CIN
LV
LACWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 71% 12
Q2 24% 4
Q3 6% 1
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 76% of 17 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 94% of 17 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.