Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 9:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Clemson
Weather at kickoff74°F1 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #82
7
final
Final
@
0-1 · Power #52
22
▲ winner
Closing spread
CLEM -20.5
✓ GASO W
Total
54.5
▼ Under · 29 pts
Model before kickoff
GASO 19–39 CLEM
✓ CLEM (92%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenCLEM -26.5
CloseCLEM -20.5
Total57.5 → 54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
6 pts toward Georgia Southern
Total
Down 3 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -26.5 · closed CLEM -20.5 · moved 6 toward GASOmodel CLEM -15
Opened 57.5 · closed 54.5 · moved 3 downmodel 58
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 19.5–21.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 49% (108 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the underdog: that team covered 53% (59 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenCLEM -26.5
CloseCLEM -20.5
Total57.5 → 54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for CLEM as a 20.5-point home favorite against GASO. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Georgia Southern ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Under trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Market moved toward Georgia Southern
6 pts (CLEM -26.5 → CLEM -20.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved down 3
57.5 → 54.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Georgia Southern has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GASO−8.8 →−7.0▲ 1.8#92
CLEM+10.7 →+4.3▼ 6.4#51
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1

GASO
Longer bar = better
CLEM
#46
Offense
◀ GASO better
#137
#3
Defense
◀ GASO better
#132
+1.0 #34
Turnovers
◀ GASO better
0.0 #88
77 plays #15
Pace
◀ GASO faster
48 plays #137
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When GASO has the ball
Advantage: GASO offense
GASO offCLEM defEdge
Points / game 31.0 #76 51.0 #137 GASO
Yards / play 6.66 #45 6.85 #127 GASO
PPA / play +0.29 #40 +0.31 #129 GASO
Success rate 53% #21 53% #133 GASO
When CLEM has the ball
Advantage: GASO defense
CLEM offGASO defEdge
Points / game 10.0 #135 0.0 #2 GASO
Yards / play 3.02 #137 1.95 #1 GASO
PPA / play −0.54 #138 −0.31 #6 GASO
Success rate 13% #138 16% #2 GASO

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
CLEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
74° · 1 mph
gusts 2 mph · at kickoff
Rest
GASO7d
CLEM7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 125 plays
slowavg 133fast
Quarterback
CLEM backup QB started
Not the usual starter

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week