Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 9:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Clemson
Closing spread
CLEM -20.5
✓ GASO W
Total
54.5
▼ Under · 29 pts
Model before kickoff
GASO 19–39 CLEM
✓ CLEM (92%) won
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenCLEM -26.5
CloseCLEM -20.5
Total57.5 → 54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -26.5
6 → GASO
CloseCLEM -20.5
6 pts toward Georgia Southern
Total
Open57.5
▼ 3
Close54.5
Down 3 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -26.5 · closed CLEM -20.5 · moved 6 toward GASOmodel CLEM -15
model CLEM -15
Opened 57.5 · closed 54.5 · moved 3 downmodel 58
model 58
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Home favorites of 19.5–21.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 49% (108 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the underdog: that team covered 53% (59 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · DraftKings
SourceDraftKings closing line
OpenCLEM -26.5
CloseCLEM -20.5
Total57.5 → 54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for
CLEM as a 20.5-point home favorite against GASO. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Georgia Southern ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Under trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Market moved toward Georgia Southern
6 pts (CLEM -26.5 → CLEM -20.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Total moved down 3
57.5 → 54.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Small sample warning
Georgia Southern has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 32 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 51% of games with totals 50.5–58.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
GASO−8.8 →−7.0▲ 1.8#92
CLEM+10.7 →+4.3▼ 6.4#51
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW1
Longer bar = better
#46
Offense
◀ GASO better#137
#3
Defense
◀ GASO better#132
+1.0 #34
Turnovers
◀ GASO better0.0 #88
77 plays #15
Pace
◀ GASO faster48 plays #137
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| GASO off | CLEM def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 31.0 #76 | 51.0 #137 | GASO |
| Yards / play | 6.66 #45 | 6.85 #127 | GASO |
| PPA / play | +0.29 #40 | +0.31 #129 | GASO |
| Success rate | 53% #21 | 53% #133 | GASO |
| CLEM off | GASO def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 10.0 #135 | 0.0 #2 | GASO |
| Yards / play | 3.02 #137 | 1.95 #1 | GASO |
| PPA / play | −0.54 #138 | −0.31 #6 | GASO |
| Success rate | 13% #138 | 16% #2 | GASO |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
74° · 1 mph
gusts 2 mph · at kickoff
Rest
GASO7d
CLEM7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 125 plays
slowavg 133fast
Quarterback
CLEM backup QB started
Not the usual starter
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

