1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. TXSO @ MUR
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Texas Southern Tigers at Murray State Racers

CFSB Center · at Murray St
#322TXSOTexas Southern
@
#132MURMurray St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
TXSOThis seasonMUR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MUR 86–69 · win probability MUR 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 154.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MUR has more of the edges

TXSO 0, MUR 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MURBig
MUR offense vs TXSO defense
Offense 110th of 366 against a defense 323rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
TXSO has played the 329th-hardest schedule, MUR the 165th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MURBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: TXSO 38.2, MUR 38.6. Allowed: TXSO 44.0, MUR 32.2
MURBig
TXSO offense vs MUR defense
Offense 311th of 366 against a defense 197th, on the model’s ratings
MURSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: TXSO 49.7 and allows 52.5; MUR 53.8 and allows 52.4
MURSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: TXSO 28.8%, MUR 32.6%. Defensive: TXSO 68.8%, MUR 68.7%
MURSmall
Home court
MUR at home. This season: MUR 0-0 at home, TXSO 0-0 away
MURSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: TXSO 18.5%, MUR 16.4%. Forced: TXSO 16.5%, MUR 15.7%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: TXSO 37%, MUR 28%. Transfers in: TXSO 4, MUR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
TXSO hits 33.1% and allows 34.1%; MUR hits 35.0% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 32.5% and 44.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: TXSO plays 71.8 a game (40th fastest), MUR 72.3 (30th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MUR -17.5—
Total—154.6—
Projected score—TXSO 68.6 · MUR 86.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMUR -10.3—
1H total72.3—
1H projected scoreTXSO 31 · MUR 41.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Murray St has the better starters

Position by position: Texas Southern 0, Murray St 3, even 2
Texas SouthernBetterMurray St
G K. Bilal TR5.6 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 23
MURBig
G C. Jones TR10 pts · 3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 61
G C. Patterson6.4 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
No call
G R. Domon14.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 95
G B. Vungo TR3.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Courbon4.6 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 31
F A. Andrews2.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 7
MURBig
F S. Tupuola TR6.3 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 55
C J. Gorecki2.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
MURBig
F B. Rogers TR6.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 67
Texas SouthernBetterMurray St
TXSO offense311th of 366 · -9.7
MURSmall
MUR defense197th of 366 · -4.8
TXSO defense323rd of 366 · -8.4
MURBig
MUR offense110th of 366 · -1.8
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
MURBig
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.1 · 2 players
MURBig
Frontcourt+0.4 · 2 players
Bench-4.2 · 5 players
MURBig
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestTXSO betterMUR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas Southern
Guards
K. Bilal21 min · TRC. Patterson16 minB. Vungo12 min · TRA. Nedal12 minJ. Hamilton7 minJ. Kimbrough4 min · TR
Forwards
A. Andrews13 minJ. Akpovwa9 minX. Wedlow3 min · TRJ. FarmerNew
Centers
J. Gorecki17 min
Murray St
Guards
C. Jones26 min · TRR. Domon25 minM. Courbon16 minB. Shorter15 minK. Magwood11 min · TRB. ShtolzbergNew
Forwards
S. Tupuola25 min · TRB. Rogers18 min · TRP. NikolicNewJ. BoulefaaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
TXSOMUR
Scoring
73.9 #204Points per game83.1 #26
1.03 #293Points per possession1.15 #56
71.8 #40Pace (possessions)72.3 #30
Shooting
49.7 #251Effective FG%53.8 #70
33.1 #2243-point %35.0 #120
32.5 #3243-point attempt rate44.8 #72
38.2 #96Free throw rate38.6 #86
Possessions
18.5 #297Turnover rate16.4 #160
28.8 #237Offensive rebound rate32.6 #100
11.1 #332Assists per game13.7 #165
Defense
80.0 #318Points allowed80.2 #323
1.12 #260Points allowed per possession1.11 #233
52.5 #240Opponent effective FG%52.4 #236
34.1 #190Opponent 3-point %36.2 #310
16.5 #188Turnovers forced15.7 #234
68.8 #211Defensive rebound rate68.7 #214
6.6 #167Steals per game5.9 #248
3.3 #173Blocks per game4.1 #69
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas Southern

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama A&M74–85
  • Lvs Prairie View59–70
  • Wvs Jackson St82–57
  • Wvs Alcorn St92–87
  • L@ Miss Valley St71–72

A week or more of rest.

Murray St

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Nevada75–89
  • Lvs UIC79–92
  • L@ Bradley78–87
  • Wvs Evansville88–75
  • L@ Illinois St61–78

A week or more of rest.