1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. KENT @ UNCW
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Kent State Golden Flashes at UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Trask Coliseum · at UNC Wilmington
#151KENTKent State
@
#120UNCWUNC Wilmington
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
KENTThis seasonUNCW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UNCW 78–72 · win probability UNCW 68%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UNCW has more of the edges

KENT 0, UNCW 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: KENT plays 73.3 a game (17th fastest), UNCW 66.1 (310th). Faster games mean more points
UNCWBig
Three-pointers
KENT hits 35.0% and allows 35.0%; UNCW hits 35.0% and allows 29.7%. Threes are 44.9% and 38.8% of their shots
UNCWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: KENT 43.5, UNCW 40.4. Allowed: KENT 39.5, UNCW 31.7
UNCWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: KENT 51.4 and allows 52.1; UNCW 50.4 and allows 47.5
UNCWSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: KENT 17.9%, UNCW 14.9%. Forced: KENT 16.1%, UNCW 14.9%
UNCWSmall
UNCW offense vs KENT defense
Offense 131st of 366 against a defense 196th, on the model’s ratings
UNCWSmall
Home court
UNCW at home. This season: UNCW 0-0 at home, KENT 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
KENT has played the 179th-hardest schedule, UNCW the 228th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: KENT 35.3%, UNCW 35.3%. Defensive: KENT 70.7%, UNCW 72.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: KENT 19%, UNCW 35%. Transfers in: KENT 5, UNCW 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
KENT offense vs UNCW defense
Offense 128th of 366 against a defense 119th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UNCW -5.5—
Total—150.0—
Projected score—KENT 72.3 · UNCW 77.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUNCW -3.1—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreKENT 33.5 · UNCW 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Kent State 1, UNC Wilmington 1, even 3
Kent StateBetterUNC Wilmington
G C. Henry TR11.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.1 ast Score 66
Even
G W. Kermoury TR13.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 75
G C. Willis TR6.3 pts · 3 reb · 3.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Pettway TR8.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 2 ast Score 64
G Q. Woidke9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 69
Even
F G. Walsh9.1 pts · 6.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 57
F C. Williams TR9.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 52
KENTSmall
F S. Elliott TR4.1 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 23
F G. Nwabude TR5.1 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 57
UNCWSmall
C P. Wessler13.5 pts · 9.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 87
Kent StateBetterUNC Wilmington
KENT offense128th of 366 · -3.5
Even
UNCW defense119th of 366 · -1.8
KENT defense196th of 366 · -4.8
UNCWSmall
UNCW offense131st of 366 · -3.7
Backcourt+0.8 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt+1.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.2 · 2 players
UNCWSmall
Frontcourt+2.5 · 3 players
Bench-2.3 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestKENT betterUNCW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Kent State
Guards
C. Henry29 min · TRC. Willis27 min · TRQ. Woidke20 minB. Moss5 minD. Lakatos1 minJ. SumlinNew
Forwards
C. Williams24 min · TRG. Nwabude19 min · TRL. Diouf13 min · TRD. Briscoe8 minL. Vanderwarker4 minJ. TownsendNew
UNC Wilmington
Guards
W. Kermoury27 min · TRT. Pettway22 min · TRJ. Lamothe15 minX. Brown12 min · TRM. Smith3 minC. LusterNew
Forwards
G. Walsh26 minS. Elliott17 min · TRT. NelsonNewM. ProdanovicNewW. SewardNew
Centers
P. Wessler27 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
KENTUNCW
Scoring
82.3 #31Points per game74.6 #174
1.12 #102Points per possession1.13 #84
73.3 #17Pace (possessions)66.1 #310
Shooting
51.4 #175Effective FG%50.4 #220
35.0 #1183-point %35.0 #124
44.9 #693-point attempt rate38.8 #194
43.5 #15Free throw rate40.4 #54
Possessions
17.9 #268Turnover rate14.9 #57
35.3 #39Offensive rebound rate35.3 #40
15.1 #81Assists per game13.1 #204
Defense
80.6 #328Points allowed68.1 #32
1.10 #221Points allowed per possession1.03 #56
52.1 #219Opponent effective FG%47.5 #30
35.0 #246Opponent 3-point %29.7 #6
16.1 #219Turnovers forced14.9 #297
70.7 #124Defensive rebound rate72.4 #51
6.5 #174Steals per game5.1 #330
3.3 #184Blocks per game2.4 #312
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Kent State

22-10 in 2025-26 overall · 15-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Illinois St58–79
  • Lvs Akron68–75
  • Wvs Ohio86–75
  • Wvs W Michigan86–78
  • W@ N Illinois102–76

A week or more of rest.

UNC Wilmington

25-7 in 2025-26 overall · 15-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Dayton61–80
  • W@ Yale68–67
  • Lvs Campbell70–85
  • W@ Elon76–57
  • Lvs Charleston76–79

A week or more of rest.