1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 16
  3. EKU @ KENT
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 16

Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Kent State Golden Flashes

M.A.C. Center · at Kent State
#294EKUE Kentucky
@
#151KENTKent State
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
EKUThis seasonKENT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KENT 83–71 · win probability KENT 86%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 154.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: KENT has more of the edges

EKU 0, KENT 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
KENTBig
KENT offense vs EKU defense
Offense 128th of 366 against a defense 340th, on the model’s ratings
KENTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: EKU 30.7, KENT 43.5. Allowed: EKU 38.5, KENT 39.5
Context
Schedule so far
EKU has played the 273rd-hardest schedule, KENT the 179th. A record against a soft schedule means less
KENTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EKU 32.5%, KENT 35.3%. Defensive: EKU 68.3%, KENT 70.7%
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: EKU plays 69.8 a game (128th fastest), KENT 73.3 (17th). Faster games mean more points
KENTSmall
Home court
KENT at home. This season: KENT 0-0 at home, EKU 0-0 away
KENTSmall
EKU offense vs KENT defense
Offense 244th of 366 against a defense 196th, on the model’s ratings
KENTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: EKU 52.1 and allows 56.1; KENT 51.4 and allows 52.1
Even
Three-pointers
EKU hits 35.0% and allows 36.2%; KENT hits 35.0% and allows 35.0%. Threes are 50.8% and 44.9% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EKU 29%, KENT 19%. Transfers in: EKU 3, KENT 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EKU 16.9%, KENT 17.9%. Forced: EKU 14.8%, KENT 16.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KENT -12.1—
Total—154.6—
Projected score—EKU 71.2 · KENT 83.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKENT -7.1—
1H total72.3—
1H projected scoreEKU 32.6 · KENT 39.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Kent State has the better starters

Position by position: E Kentucky 0, Kent State 4, even 1
E KentuckyBetterKent State
G J. Holt7 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 38
KENTSmall
G C. Henry TR11.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.1 ast Score 66
G D. King TR2.3 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Willis TR6.3 pts · 3 reb · 3.3 ast Not ranked
F S. Lasu TR5.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 15
KENTBig
G Q. Woidke9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 69
F A. Ball7.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 20
KENTSmall
F C. Williams TR9.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 52
F Y. Paul4.2 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 12
KENTBig
F G. Nwabude TR5.1 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 57
E KentuckyBetterKent State
EKU offense244th of 366 · -7.4
Even
KENT defense196th of 366 · -4.8
EKU defense340th of 366 · -9.1
KENTBig
KENT offense128th of 366 · -3.5
Backcourt-1.1 · 2 players
KENTSmall
Backcourt+0.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-5.3 · 3 players
KENTBig
Frontcourt-0.2 · 2 players
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
EKUSmall
Bench-2.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestEKU betterKENT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Kentucky
Guards
J. Holt20 minD. King8 min · TRO. Hamama7 min · TRM. Miles1 minJ. McCarterNewD. VasserNew
Forwards
S. Lasu23 min · TRA. Ball20 minY. Paul17 minD. DujmovicNewJ. LoweNewM. CamaraNew
Kent State
Guards
C. Henry29 min · TRC. Willis27 min · TRQ. Woidke20 minB. Moss5 minD. Lakatos1 minJ. SumlinNew
Forwards
C. Williams24 min · TRG. Nwabude19 min · TRL. Diouf13 min · TRD. Briscoe8 minL. Vanderwarker4 minJ. TownsendNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EKUKENT
Scoring
77.5 #107Points per game82.3 #31
1.11 #123Points per possession1.12 #102
69.8 #128Pace (possessions)73.3 #17
Shooting
52.1 #141Effective FG%51.4 #175
35.0 #1113-point %35.0 #118
50.8 #103-point attempt rate44.9 #69
30.7 #286Free throw rate43.5 #15
Possessions
16.9 #194Turnover rate17.9 #268
32.5 #106Offensive rebound rate35.3 #39
14.1 #139Assists per game15.1 #81
Defense
83.1 #346Points allowed80.6 #328
1.19 #354Points allowed per possession1.10 #221
56.1 #346Opponent effective FG%52.1 #219
36.2 #312Opponent 3-point %35.0 #246
14.8 #304Turnovers forced16.1 #219
68.3 #241Defensive rebound rate70.7 #124
6.1 #228Steals per game6.5 #174
2.9 #245Blocks per game3.3 #184
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

E Kentucky

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Stetson76–92
  • Lvs Lipscomb77–80
  • Lvs Queens University Royals79–96
  • W@ Bellarmine95–92
  • Wvs West Georgia81–80

A week or more of rest.

Kent State

22-10 in 2025-26 overall · 15-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Illinois St58–79
  • Lvs Akron68–75
  • Wvs Ohio86–75
  • Wvs W Michigan86–78
  • W@ N Illinois102–76

A week or more of rest.