1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. HAMP @ GW
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

Hampton Pirates at George Washington Revolutionaries

Charles E. Smith Center · at G Washington
#159HAMPHampton
@
#101GWG Washington
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HAMPThis seasonGW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GW 79–68 · win probability GW 82%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GW has more of the edges

HAMP 0, GW 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GWBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: HAMP 45.7 and allows 52.0; GW 54.4 and allows 52.4
Context
Schedule so far
HAMP has played the 217th-hardest schedule, GW the 95th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HAMP plays 66.5 a game (295th fastest), GW 70.2 (107th). Faster games mean more points
GWSmall
HAMP offense vs GW defense
Offense 186th of 366 against a defense 95th, on the model’s ratings
GWSmall
Three-pointers
HAMP hits 28.8% and allows 32.1%; GW hits 35.1% and allows 33.9%. Threes are 37.0% and 47.0% of their shots
GWSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HAMP 32.9%, GW 35.8%. Defensive: HAMP 70.0%, GW 71.3%
GWSmall
Home court
GW at home. This season: GW 0-0 at home, HAMP 0-0 away
Even
GW offense vs HAMP defense
Offense 112th of 366 against a defense 153rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: HAMP 39.2, GW 34.9. Allowed: HAMP 46.5, GW 35.0
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HAMP 17.1%, GW 18.1%. Forced: HAMP 17.2%, GW 17.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HAMP 18%, GW 13%. Transfers in: HAMP 6, GW 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GW -10.6—
Total—146.5—
Projected score—HAMP 68 · GW 78.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGW -6.2—
1H total68.5—
1H projected scoreHAMP 31.2 · GW 37.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hampton has the better starters

Position by position: Hampton 2, G Washington 1, even 2
HamptonBetterG Washington
G J. Mitchell TR14.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 56
Even
G A. Phillips TR13.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 50
G S. Hubbard TR16.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 70
HAMPBig
G O. Witherspoon TR7.5 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 34
G A. Davis TR9.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
Even
G J. Aranguren8.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 70
F M. Frazier TR12 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 77
HAMPBig
G F. Kossaras TR4.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 37
F C. Robinson TR8.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 25
GWSmall
F A. Shaw TR4.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 48
HamptonBetterG Washington
HAMP offense186th of 366 · -5.7
GWSmall
GW defense95th of 366 · -0.5
HAMP defense153rd of 366 · -3.4
Even
GW offense112th of 366 · -1.9
Backcourt+0.1 · 3 players
HAMPSmall
Backcourt-2.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-2.1 · 5 players
GWSmall
Bench-0.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHAMP betterGW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hampton
Guards
J. Mitchell33 min · TRS. Hubbard31 min · TRA. Davis24 min · TRE. Strothers19 minT. Jackson17 min · TRA. Haskins10 min
Forwards
M. Frazier29 min · TRC. Robinson26 min · TRP. Da CruzNewW. PrestonNewZ. IbekweNewS. TabeNew
G Washington
Guards
A. Phillips34 min · TRO. Witherspoon28 min · TRJ. Aranguren24 minF. Kossaras16 min · TRT. Arceneaux16 min · TRA. Arrington1 min
Forwards
A. Shaw26 min · TRA. Vukovic15 min · TRD. James15 min · TRM. Arrington14 min · TRR. Frost7 min · TRL. UrbihaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HAMPGW
Scoring
68.0 #312Points per game80.9 #46
1.02 #301Points per possession1.15 #63
66.5 #295Pace (possessions)70.2 #107
Shooting
45.7 #356Effective FG%54.4 #55
28.8 #3573-point %35.1 #106
37.0 #2293-point attempt rate47.0 #33
39.2 #73Free throw rate34.9 #184
Possessions
17.1 #205Turnover rate18.1 #276
32.9 #90Offensive rebound rate35.8 #26
11.2 #329Assists per game15.4 #69
Defense
72.1 #108Points allowed75.2 #195
1.08 #176Points allowed per possession1.08 #149
52.0 #212Opponent effective FG%52.4 #234
32.1 #65Opponent 3-point %33.9 #175
17.2 #137Turnovers forced17.8 #110
70.0 #165Defensive rebound rate71.3 #91
6.3 #207Steals per game7.2 #103
3.0 #232Blocks per game3.5 #142
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hampton

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Towson68–74
  • L@ William & Mary85–94
  • Wvs Northeastern76–65
  • Lvs Charleston71–85
  • L@ Stony Brook72–79

A week or more of rest.

G Washington

18-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico61–86
  • W@ Utah Valley79–78
  • Lvs Saint Louis81–88
  • Wvs Fordham66–62
  • L@ Loyola Chicago62–68

A week or more of rest.