Jon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah
#297LBSULong Beach St
@
#73UTAHUtah
LineUTAH -19.5moved 1 toward LBSU
Total148.5down 1 from 149.5
Season records: Long Beach St and Utah
LBSUThis seasonUTAH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTAH 84–65 · win probability UTAH 96%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
UTAH -19.5
moved 1 toward LBSU
Total
148.5
model 148.8
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTAH has more of the edges

LBSU 1, UTAH 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTAHBig
UTAH offense vs LBSU defense
Offense 79th of 366 against a defense 300th, on the model’s ratings
UTAHBig
LBSU offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 285th of 366 against a defense 68th, on the model’s ratings
UTAHBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LBSU 30.7, UTAH 31.7. Allowed: LBSU 42.3, UTAH 29.9
Context
Schedule so far
LBSU has played the 152nd-hardest schedule, UTAH the 53rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: LBSU plays 71.7 a game (46th fastest), UTAH 68.3 (211th). Faster games mean more points
LBSUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LBSU 18.0%, UTAH 16.7%. Forced: LBSU 17.5%, UTAH 13.3%
UTAHSmall
Three-pointers
LBSU hits 32.7% and allows 34.4%; UTAH hits 35.3% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 34.8% and 37.5% of their shots
UTAHSmall
Home court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 0-0 at home, LBSU 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LBSU 26.2%, UTAH 29.3%. Defensive: LBSU 72.2%, UTAH 68.4%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LBSU 50.6 and allows 53.7; UTAH 52.0 and allows 53.9
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LBSU 8%, UTAH 14%. Transfers in: LBSU 5, UTAH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 15 to 19.599394%48%52%
Non-conference games at this spread63293%49%53%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog451374%51%50%
Games with a total of 145 to 149.5354774%49%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward LBSU
Total
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LBSU +1600 · UTAH -4500
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened UTAH -20.5 · now UTAH -19.5 · moved 1 toward LBSUmodel UTAH -20
Opened 149.5 · now 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
Over 148.5TotalUnder 148.5
Bets
Money
LBSUWinnerUTAH
Bets
Money

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
LBSUUTAHOverUnderLBSUUTAH
BetMGMMGM-19.5-105+19.5-115148.5-115148.5-105+1300-3000
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-19.5-105+19.5-115148.5-115148.5-105——
BetRiversBetRivers-20.5-134+20.5+105149.5-107149.5-120——
BetUSBetUS-19.5-105+19.5-115148.5-115148.5-105——
BovadaBovada-19.5-110+19.5-110148.5-110148.5-110——
DraftKingsDK-19.5-102+19.5-118148.5-110148.5-110+1700-4500
FanDuelFD-18.5-102+18.5-120148.5-115148.5-105+1600-4500
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-19.5-101+19.5-111148.5-113148.5-103——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadUTAH -19.5UTAH -19.8UTAH +0.3
Total148.5148.8Over 0.3
Projected score—LBSU 64.5 · UTAH 84.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadUTAH -11.6—
1H total69.6—
1H projected scoreLBSU 29 · UTAH 40.6—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Long Beach St 2, Utah 2, even 1
Long Beach StBetterUtah
G J. Payne TR6.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 40
UTAHBig
G T. Campbell TR13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.9 ast Score 85
G Y. Sissoko TR2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast Score 32
UTAHBig
G J. Holcombe TR15.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 97
G C. Jones3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Burch TR12.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast Score 88
F G. Brcic TR4.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 39
LBSUSmall
G O. Abbey2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 12
C N. Amenhauser TR5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 57
LBSUSmall
C M. Gomma TR8 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28
Long Beach StBetterUtah
LBSU offense285th of 366 · -8.8
UTAHBig
UTAH defense68th of 366 · +0.9
LBSU defense300th of 366 · -7.7
UTAHBig
UTAH offense79th of 366 · +0.7
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
UTAHBig
Backcourt+6.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
LBSUSmall
Frontcourt-1.4 · 1 player
Bench-1.9 · 2 players
UTAHSmall
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestLBSU betterUTAH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Long Beach St
Guards
J. Payne22 min · TRY. Sissoko11 min · TRC. Jones10 minJ. TenganNewJ. GrayNewM. AdamsNew
Forwards
G. Brcic17 min · TRK. Smith8 min · TRJ. Chaikovsky6 minB. WrightNewH. LauNewM. VanlaninghamNew
Centers
N. Amenhauser12 min · TR
Utah
Guards
T. Campbell34 min · TRJ. Holcombe31 min · TRT. Burch25 min · TRO. Abbey15 minT. Chatman13 min · TRL. Langarita12 min
Forwards
G. Gaddis1 min · TRB. FayeNewZ. LoubakiNewJ. JohnsonNewA. AnigbataNew
Centers
M. Gomma26 min · TRF. SchottNewL. McCannaNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LBSUUTAH
Scoring
73.2 #219Points per game74.3 #185
1.02 #303Points per possession1.08 #173
71.7 #46Pace (possessions)68.3 #211
Shooting
50.6 #207Effective FG%52.0 #142
32.7 #2453-point %35.3 #98
34.8 #2803-point attempt rate37.5 #222
30.7 #287Free throw rate31.7 #262
Possessions
18.0 #271Turnover rate16.7 #175
26.2 #315Offensive rebound rate29.3 #224
12.3 #264Assists per game13.7 #169
Defense
79.0 #297Points allowed79.1 #302
1.10 #220Points allowed per possession1.16 #337
53.7 #290Opponent effective FG%53.9 #298
34.4 #212Opponent 3-point %35.1 #254
17.5 #119Turnovers forced13.3 #348
72.2 #60Defensive rebound rate68.4 #233
6.5 #173Steals per game5.3 #315
2.9 #250Blocks per game3.4 #160

Long Beach St

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ Hawai'i84–75
  • Lvs UC Davis70–76
  • W@ Bakersfield88–87
  • L@ Cal Poly92–102
  • Lvs CSU Northridge76–78

A week or more of rest.

Utah

10-22 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cincinnati66–73
  • L@ Baylor75–101
  • Lvs Colorado78–92
  • L@ Arizona St60–73
  • Lvs Iowa State59–75

A week or more of rest.