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NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Cornell @ Long Island

Brooklyn Athletic Center · at Long Island
#179CORCornell
@
#324LIULong Island
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CORThis seasonLIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COR 80–76 · win probability COR 65%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 155.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LIU has more of the edges

COR 2, LIU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CORBig
COR offense vs LIU defense
Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 283rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
COR has played the 144th-hardest schedule, LIU the 291st. A record against a soft schedule means less
LIUBig
Three-pointers
COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%; LIU hits 35.8% and allows 32.2%. Threes are 51.6% and 29.3% of their shots
CORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COR 53%, LIU 6%. Transfers in: COR 0, LIU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
LIUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: COR 30.2, LIU 34.0. Allowed: COR 37.2, LIU 34.7
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: COR plays 72.0 a game (36th fastest), LIU 68.5 (206th). Faster games mean more points
LIUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: COR 58.5 and allows 55.9; LIU 52.8 and allows 50.0
LIUSmall
Home court
LIU at home. This season: LIU 0-0 at home, COR 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COR 16.1%, LIU 19.0%. Forced: COR 15.0%, LIU 18.7%
Even
LIU offense vs COR defense
Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COR 30.2%, LIU 33.9%. Defensive: COR 69.4%, LIU 67.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COR -4.3—
Total—155.4—
Projected score—COR 79.8 · LIU 75.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOR -2.7—
1H total72.6—
1H projected scoreCOR 37.6 · LIU 35—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Cornell has the better starters

Position by position: Cornell 2, Long Island 1, even 2
CornellBetterLong Island
G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37
CORBig
G J. Pickett TR5.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 2
G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30
CORSmall
G K. Jones TR4.4 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 13
G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Davis TR0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28
No call
G D. Jean-Charles TR0.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
LIUSmall
F J. Johnson TR6.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
CornellBetterLong Island
COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8
CORBig
LIU defense283rd of 366 · -7.1
COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3
Even
LIU offense338th of 366 · -11.1
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
CORBig
Backcourt-6.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
LIUSmall
Frontcourt-0.8 · 1 player
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestCOR betterLIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Cornell
Guards
J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew
Forwards
K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew
Long Island
Guards
J. Pickett27 min · TRK. Jones11 min · TRD. Davis9 min · TRD. Jean-Charles9 min · TRM. Ndlovu-Fraser8 minV. AlletteNew
Forwards
J. Johnson15 min · TRJ. Howard7 min · TRX. Li4 minM. BewleyNewR. BewleyNewT. BowlesNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CORLIU
Scoring
85.8 #13Points per game73.6 #214
1.20 #17Points per possession1.08 #185
72.0 #36Pace (possessions)68.5 #206
Shooting
58.5 #7Effective FG%52.8 #112
38.3 #143-point %35.8 #67
51.6 #83-point attempt rate29.3 #354
30.2 #304Free throw rate34.0 #207
Possessions
16.1 #144Turnover rate19.0 #320
30.2 #193Offensive rebound rate33.9 #70
20.0 #1Assists per game13.7 #170
Defense
84.6 #358Points allowed71.7 #99
1.17 #343Points allowed per possession1.04 #80
55.9 #343Opponent effective FG%50.0 #102
37.5 #349Opponent 3-point %32.2 #72
15.0 #287Turnovers forced18.7 #61
69.4 #187Defensive rebound rate67.0 #299
5.8 #263Steals per game7.8 #56
2.8 #267Blocks per game5.4 #9
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Yale76–88
  • W@ Dartmouth111–90
  • Wvs Brown86–80
  • Wvs Yale72–69
  • Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.

Long Island

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 18-3 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arizona58–92
  • Wvs Mercyhurst79–70
  • Wvs Wagner64–56
  • Wvs Chicago St79–75
  • Wvs FDU74–60

A week or more of rest.