1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. JKST @ OKST
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Jackson State Tigers at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Gallagher-Iba Arena · at Oklahoma St
#280JKSTJackson St
@
#45OKSTOklahoma St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
JKSTThis seasonOKST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OKST 95–68 · win probability OKST 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 162.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OKST has more of the edges

JKST 1, OKST 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OKSTBig
OKST offense vs JKST defense
Offense 23rd of 366 against a defense 325th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
JKST has played the 239th-hardest schedule, OKST the 60th. A record against a soft schedule means less
OKSTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: JKST 37.4, OKST 39.4. Allowed: JKST 41.9, OKST 31.4
OKSTBig
JKST offense vs OKST defense
Offense 229th of 366 against a defense 99th, on the model’s ratings
OKSTBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JKST 29.7%, OKST 30.8%. Defensive: JKST 62.8%, OKST 69.7%
OKSTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: JKST 45.7 and allows 53.0; OKST 52.0 and allows 53.1
OKSTSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: JKST 19.4%, OKST 15.7%. Forced: JKST 16.5%, OKST 15.7%
JKSTSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JKST 76%, OKST 41%. Transfers in: JKST 2, OKST 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
OKSTSmall
Home court
OKST at home. This season: OKST 0-0 at home, JKST 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
JKST hits 31.4% and allows 34.8%; OKST hits 33.9% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 43.3% and 35.5% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: JKST plays 71.6 a game (50th fastest), OKST 74.8 (6th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OKST -27.3—
Total—162.6—
Projected score—JKST 67.7 · OKST 95

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOKST -16.1—
1H total76.0—
1H projected scoreJKST 29.9 · OKST 46—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Oklahoma St has the better starters

Position by position: Jackson St 1, Oklahoma St 3, even 1
Jackson StBetterOklahoma St
G D. Ruffin23.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 98
JKSTSmall
G K. Clary10.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.6 ast Score 78
G D. McMillian11.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 37
OKSTBig
G K. Natt TR11.3 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.5 ast Score 94
G M. Williams5.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Walker TR11.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 55
G T. Hoover5.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 23
OKSTBig
F J. Burks TR13.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 90
G D. Williams2.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 5
OKSTBig
F P. Fallah14.7 pts · 6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 97
Jackson StBetterOklahoma St
JKST offense229th of 366 · -7.0
OKSTBig
OKST defense99th of 366 · -0.7
JKST defense325th of 366 · -8.4
OKSTBig
OKST offense23rd of 366 · +7.5
Backcourt-2.6 · 5 players
OKSTBig
Backcourt+4.0 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+7.7 · 2 players
Bench-5.7 · 5 players
OKSTBig
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestJKST betterOKST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Jackson St
Guards
D. Ruffin34 minD. McMillian30 minM. Williams20 minT. Hoover20 minD. Williams17 minC. Brunt11 min · TR
Forwards
K. Butler10 minD. Kolev8 minN. WilliamsNewT. LawsonNew
Centers
E. Wilson11 minJ. Williams8 min · TR
Oklahoma St
Guards
K. Clary28 minK. Natt27 min · TRJ. Walker26 min · TRL. Bogavac24 min · TRR. Crotty10 minJ. MontonatiNew
Forwards
J. Burks28 min · TRP. Fallah26 minA. Grbovic20 min · TRB. Ahmed13 minM. Ragland6 minL. AllmondNew
Centers
J. Halaifonua20 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
JKSTOKST
Scoring
70.2 #281Points per game83.9 #21
0.98 #341Points per possession1.12 #110
71.6 #50Pace (possessions)74.8 #6
Shooting
45.7 #354Effective FG%52.0 #144
31.4 #3113-point %33.9 #176
43.3 #1053-point attempt rate35.5 #260
37.4 #117Free throw rate39.4 #70
Possessions
19.4 #337Turnover rate15.7 #117
29.7 #215Offensive rebound rate30.8 #169
10.4 #352Assists per game14.6 #113
Defense
83.8 #354Points allowed83.2 #349
1.17 #344Points allowed per possession1.12 #265
53.0 #267Opponent effective FG%53.1 #272
34.8 #236Opponent 3-point %36.0 #304
16.5 #189Turnovers forced15.7 #240
62.8 #359Defensive rebound rate69.7 #178
6.3 #205Steals per game7.1 #120
3.0 #226Blocks per game2.7 #285
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Jackson St

12-21 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Florida A&M60–70
  • Wvs Grambling68–65
  • Wvs Miss Valley St85–77
  • Wvs AR-Pine Bluff81–78
  • L@ Texas Southern57–82

A week or more of rest.

Oklahoma St

20-15 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wichita St70–96
  • Wvs Davidson84–80
  • Lvs TCU88–95
  • Wvs Colorado92–83
  • Lvs Houston75–82

A week or more of rest.