MGM Grand Garden Arena · Neutral site · Postseason
Closing line
BAY -3.5✓ BAY covered by 15.5
BAY -3.5✓ BAY covered by 15.5Closing total146.5Under by 31.5
| BAY | This season | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| 15-16 | Record | 15-17 |
| 13-18 | ATS | 13-19 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 12-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 75–71 MINN · ✓ BAY (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| MINN | 26 | 22 | 48 |
1st half: BAY 31, MINN 26 (BAY by 5). The model had BAY by 2.8 and a total of 68.5 (actual 57).
Team stats
| BAY | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 19-49 39% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 3-23 13% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 7-15 47% |
| 37 7 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 9 | Assists | 6 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim G | 38 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Cameron Carr G | 37 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 6-15 | 1-7 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 35 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 8-20 | 0-4 |
| Caden Powell C | 31 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Rataj G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| James Goodis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Kuykendall G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Perry G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, James Nnaji, JJ White
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin F | 40 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Cade Tyson G | 39 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-6 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Grayson Grove F | 30 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 28 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Maximus Gizzi G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaylen Crocker-Johnson, RJ Spencer, Max Lorenson, Chansey Willis Jr., Nehemiah Turner, BJ Omot, Chance Stephens, Robert Vaihola
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBAY -3.5
no move
CloseBAY -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BAY -175 · MINN +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BAY -3.5 · unchangedmodel BAY -4.5
model BAY -4.5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5 matches the line
model 146.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BAY -3.5 | BAY -4.5 | BAY +1.0 | W BAY covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 146.4 | Under 0.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | BAY 75.4 · MINN 70.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BAY -2.8 | BAY -5.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 57 |
| 1H projected score | BAY 35.6 · MINN 32.8 | BAY 31 · MINN 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| MINN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
31 games played
Straight up
15-16
48% wins
Against the spread
13-18
42% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @ KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vs TTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @ CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 4 | vs COLO | W 86-67 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | @ISU | L 69-72 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | vs BYU | L 94-99 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 14 | vs LOU | L 71-82 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ KSU | L 74-90 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vs ASU | W 73-68 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | vs ARIZ | L 80-87 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @ UCF | W 87-86 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 4 | @HOU | L 64-77 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 7 | vs UTAH | W 101-75 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 176 |
| Mar 10 | vsASU | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
+11.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
+11.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
−1.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−3.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
−19.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−3.5
24
vsARIZ
ARIZL 80-87
+0.5
28
@UCF
UCFW 87-86
+2.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 64-77
−0.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 101-75
+12.5
10
vsASU
ASUL 79-83
−9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 18avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
−2.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
−10.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
+34.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−9.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
+4.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−16.5
24
vsARIZ
ARIZL 80-87
+11.5
28
@UCF
UCFW 87-86
+13.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 64-77
−2.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 101-75
+27.5
10
vsASU
ASUL 79-83
+9.5
over 18under 13avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Minnesota
32 games played
Straight up
15-17
47% wins
Against the spread
13-19
41% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-20
38% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vsALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs IU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PUR | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs TXSO | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs CAM | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs FDU | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ NU | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs IOWA | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs USC | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs WIS | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ ILL | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs NEB | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @WIS | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @ PSU | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vs MSU | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | vs MD | L 62-67 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @WASH | L 57-69 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 17 | @ ORE | W 61-44 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | vs RUTG | W 80-61 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 24 | @ MICH | L 67-77 | +22.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | vs UCLA | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 4 | @IU | L 47-77 | +7.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 7 | vsNU | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 11 | vsRUTG | L 67-72 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−8.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
+14.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
+14.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−8.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+10.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+7.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
−1.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+5.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−0.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−14.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
+5.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
−4.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+11.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−15.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−5.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
+20.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+10.5
24
@MICH
MICHL 67-77
+12.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAW 78-73
+6.5
4
@IU
IUL 47-77
−22.5
7
vsNU
NUW 67-66
−3.5
11
vsRUTG
RUTGL 67-72
−11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−1.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
−2.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
−17.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−36.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+23.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+6.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−8.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
+6.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+12.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−7.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
−16.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
+9.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+12.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−9.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−12.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
−31.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+4.5
24
@MICH
MICHL 67-77
−1.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAW 78-73
+14.5
4
@IU
IUL 47-77
−14.5
7
vsNU
NUW 67-66
−0.5
11
vsRUTG
RUTGL 67-72
+3.5
over 12under 20avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
15-16 overall · 6-13 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona St79–83
- Wvs Utah101–75
- L@ Houston64–77
- W@ UCF87–86
- Lvs Arizona80–87
A week or more of rest.
Minnesota
15-17 overall · 8-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Rutgers67–72
- Wvs Northwestern67–66
- L@ Indiana47–77
- Wvs UCLA78–73
- L@ Michigan67–77
A week or more of rest.