Moda Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
ARK -14.5✓ ARK covered by 4.5
ARK -14.5✓ ARK covered by 4.5Closing total158.5Over by 16.5
 HAW | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 22-8 | Record | 26-8 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 22-12 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 19-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HAW 74–90 ARK · ✓ ARK (92%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| ARK | 54 | 43 | 97 |
1st half: HAW 36, ARK 54 (ARK by 18). The model had ARK by 9.3 and a total of 76.3 (actual 90).
Team stats
| HAW | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-69 45% | Field goals | 39-72 54% |
| 10-30 33% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 26 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 64 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| HAW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dre Bullock G | 36 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 9-22 | 1-7 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff F | 33 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Finlinson F | 31 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Hunter Erickson G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Isaac Johnson C | 24 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Kerr G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Gytis Nemeiksa F | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Yacine Toumi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Carter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Economou G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Hunkin-Claytor, Tanner Cuff, Jalen Myers
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 36 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 9-19 | 2-5 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 35 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 8-17 | 1-7 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 35 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 9-16 | 1-5 |
| Malique Ewin F | 31 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 31 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Wagner G | 31 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Amere Brown, Karter Knox, Nick Pringle
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARK -14.5
ModelARK -15.8
Model edgeARK +1.3
W ARK covered
Total
Market158.5
Model163.5
Model edgeOver 5.0
W Over
Projected score
HAW 73.8 · ARK 89.7
HAW 78 · ARK 97
Win probability
ARK 92%
1st half
Spread
ARK -9.3
ARK -18.0
Total
76.3
90 points
Projected score
HAW 33.5 · ARK 42.8
HAW 36 · ARK 54
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -15.5
1 → HAW
CloseARK -14.5
1 pt toward HAW
Total
Open161.5
▼ 3
Close158.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
HAW +675 · ARK -1050
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -15.5 · closed ARK -14.5 · moved 1 toward HAWmodel ARK -16
model ARK -16
Opened 161.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 downmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hawai'i
30 games played
Straight up
22-8
73% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ORE | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs ETAM | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MVSU | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs MAN | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTU | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs ASU | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs UND | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCD | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUF | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs UTEP | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCR | W 88-45 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCSD | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCI | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @ CP | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCSB | L 62-77 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs CSUB | W 98-71 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs CSUN | W 89-68 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | @UCI | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LBSU | W 89-82 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vsUCSD | W 72-67 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @CSUB | W 89-74 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | @CSUN | L 60-84 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 19 | vsCP | L 75-86 | -11.5 | L −22.5 | 160.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vsUCSB | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 26 | @UCD | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 28 | @CSUF | W 87-85 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 5 | vsUCR | W 93-74 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 7 | vsLBSU | L 75-84 | -14.5 | L −23.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vsCSUF | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 14 | vsUCI | W 71-64 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
+10.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+7.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−9.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
+14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−10.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
−8.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
+18.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−7.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
+34.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
−7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−3.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
+14.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−17.5
22
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-71
+9.5
24
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-68
+10.5
29
@UCI
UCIL 76-87
−9.5
31
@LBSU
LBSUW 89-82
−1.5
7
vsUCSD
UCSDW 72-67
−1.5
12
@CSUB
CSUBW 89-74
+1.5
14
@CSUN
CSUNL 60-84
−26.5
19
vsCP
CPL 75-86
−22.5
21
vsUCSB
UCSBW 78-75
−2.5
26
@UCD
UCDW 77-73
+2.5
28
@CSUF
CSUFW 87-85
−1.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 93-74
+6.5
7
vsLBSU
LBSUL 75-84
−23.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFW 78-63
+9.5
14
vsUCI
UCIW 71-64
+8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
−25.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+28.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−7.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
−14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−19.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
+15.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
−2.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−11.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
−16.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
+7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−7.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
−8.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−4.5
22
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-71
+24.5
24
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-68
−1.5
29
@UCI
UCIL 76-87
+18.5
31
@LBSU
LBSUW 89-82
+26.5
7
vsUCSD
UCSDW 72-67
−10.5
12
@CSUB
CSUBW 89-74
+11.5
14
@CSUN
CSUNL 60-84
−18.5
19
vsCP
CPL 75-86
+0.5
21
vsUCSB
UCSBW 78-75
+7.5
26
@UCD
UCDW 77-73
+3.5
28
@CSUF
CSUFW 87-85
+13.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 93-74
+16.5
7
vsLBSU
LBSUL 75-84
+8.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFW 78-63
−16.5
14
vsUCI
UCIW 71-64
−6.5
over 13under 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
34 games played
Straight up
26-8
76% wins
Against the spread
22-12
65% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs SC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vs VAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs LSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @ OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs UK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vs MIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vs TA&M | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | @ FLA | L 77-111 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 4 | vs TEX | W 105-85 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | @MIZ | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 13 | vsOU | W 82-79 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 14 | vsMISS | W 93-90 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 15 | vsVAN | W 86-75 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+7.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
−24.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+13.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+6.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−3.5
14
vsMISS
MISSW 93-90
−5.5
15
vsVAN
VANW 86-75
+13.5
covered 22didn’t cover 12avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+12.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
+18.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+26.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+8.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−5.5
14
vsMISS
MISSW 93-90
+23.5
15
vsVAN
VANW 86-75
−4.5
over 19under 15avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hawai'i
22-8 overall · 16-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Irvine71–64
- Wvs Fullerton78–63
- Lvs Long Beach St75–84
- Wvs UC Riverside93–74
- W@ Fullerton87–85
5 days since their last game.
Arkansas
26-8 overall · 16-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vanderbilt86–75
- Wvs Ole Miss93–90
- Wvs Oklahoma82–79
- W@ Missouri88–84
- Wvs Texas105–85
4 days since their last game.