Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UMBC -12.5✓ UMBC covered by 2.5
UMBC -12.5✓ UMBC covered by 2.5Closing total142.5Over by 10.5
 UNH | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-20 | Record | 19-8 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 66–79 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 30 | 39 | 69 |
| UMBC | 34 | 50 | 84 |
1st half: UNH 30, UMBC 34 (UMBC by 4). The model had UMBC by 7.5 and a total of 68.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UNH | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 13-28 46% |
| 8-16 50% | Free throws | 17-18 94% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 31 4 off |
| 9 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bike G | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 34 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8-16 | 0-1 |
| Davide Poser F | 32 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| John Squire F | 28 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Graham G | 26 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Comeh Emuobor F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Blackley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Sanford, Jon O'Neill, Antoni Siewruk, Dylan Saunders
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Ace Valentine G | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 7-11 | 5-8 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 23 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Paul Greene F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jake Stout F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -12.5
ModelUMBC -12.8
Model edgeUMBC +0.3
W UMBC covered
Total
Market142.5
Model145.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
UNH 66.2 · UMBC 79
UNH 69 · UMBC 84
Win probability
UMBC 87%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -7.5
UMBC -4.0
Total
68.0
64 points
Projected score
UNH 30.2 · UMBC 37.7
UNH 30 · UMBC 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -12.5
no move
CloseUMBC -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 5
Close142.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +800 · UMBC -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -12.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -13
model UMBC -13
Opened 137.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 5 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| UMBC | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UNH 5–5 UMBCSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · UMBC has won the last 2 meetings · UNH 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | UMBC 85 @ UNH 63 | UNH +2.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | UNH 74 @ UMBC 75 | UMBC -6.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | UMBC 78 @ UNH 79 | UNH +8.5 | UNH W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UNH 79 @ UMBC 76 | UMBC -13.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UMBC 86 @ UNH 68 | UNH -6.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
27 games played
Straight up
7-20
26% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLEM | L 38-88 | +29.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 9 | @ HARV | L 75-86 | +15.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | @ GMU | L 44-61 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | @ PROV | L 66-98 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRWN | L 47-59 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAIR | L 68-72 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 3 | @ DART | L 68-69 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs BU | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | vs STO | W 59-58 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 21 | @ SLU | L 79-93 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | @ NEB | L 55-86 | +31.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVM | L 61-80 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ NJIT | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @UMBC | L 74-75 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @ ME | W 65-48 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 22 | vs BING | W 88-82 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs UALB | W 80-72 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vs UML | W 66-61 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 31 | @ BRY | L 84-92 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 7 | @UVM | L 57-80 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 12 | vsNJIT | L 70-76 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | vsUMBC | L 63-85 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | @UML | L 56-78 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | vsME | L 58-61 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 26 | @BING | L 63-65 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UALB | L 61-84 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 3 | vsBRY | W 88-83 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
−2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−6.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
+5.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
+7.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+11.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−2.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+20.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
+0.5
3
vsUVM
UVML 61-80
−11.5
8
@NJIT
NJITL 76-80
−6.5
10
@UMBC
UMBCL 74-75
+5.5
19
@ME
MEW 65-48
+18.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 88-82
−3.5
24
vsUALB
UALBW 80-72
+5.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 66-61
+1.5
31
@BRY
BRYL 84-92
−6.5
7
@UVM
UVML 57-80
−13.5
12
vsNJIT
NJITL 70-76
−8.5
14
vsUMBC
UMBCL 63-85
−19.5
19
@UML
UMLL 56-78
−18.5
21
vsME
MEL 58-61
−6.5
26
@BING
BINGL 63-65
−4.5
28
@UALB
UALBL 61-84
−19.5
3
vsBRY
BRYW 88-83
+2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
+2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−30.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
−7.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
−10.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+35.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−21.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+14.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
−5.5
3
vsUVM
UVML 61-80
+1.5
8
@NJIT
NJITL 76-80
+18.5
10
@UMBC
UMBCL 74-75
+5.5
19
@ME
MEW 65-48
−16.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 88-82
+34.5
24
vsUALB
UALBW 80-72
+14.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 66-61
−19.5
31
@BRY
BRYL 84-92
+44.5
7
@UVM
UVML 57-80
−1.5
12
vsNJIT
NJITL 70-76
+0.5
14
vsUMBC
UMBCL 63-85
+1.5
19
@UML
UMLL 56-78
−17.5
21
vsME
MEL 58-61
−16.5
26
@BING
BINGL 63-65
−13.5
28
@UALB
UALBL 61-84
+6.5
3
vsBRY
BRYW 88-83
+35.5
over 14under 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
27 games played
Straight up
19-8
70% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vsME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vsNJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsUML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UML | W 84-60 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 3 | @NJIT | W 91-52 | -4.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
+21.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
+34.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
−6.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
−0.5
over 11under 16avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
7-20 overall · 5-11 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant88–83
- L@ UAlbany61–84
- L@ Binghamton63–65
- Lvs Maine58–61
- L@ UMass Lowell56–78
4 days since their last game.
UMBC
19-8 overall · 14-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NJIT91–52
- W@ UMass Lowell84–60
- Wvs Bryant70–58
- Wvs UAlbany66–62
- Wvs Vermont75–62
4 days since their last game.