Spectrum Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SMU -3.5✓ SMU covered by 13.5
SMU -3.5✓ SMU covered by 13.5Closing total154.5Over by 0.5
 SYR | This season | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-16 | Record | 19-12 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 13-18 |
| 16-15 | O/U | 18-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 78–83 SMU · ✓ SMU (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| SMU | 39 | 47 | 86 |
1st half: SYR 38, SMU 39 (SMU by 1). The model had SMU by 2.8 and a total of 75.0 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SYR | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 34-73 47% |
| 9-34 26% | 3-pointers | 11-33 33% |
| 4-7 57% | Free throws | 7-8 88% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 44 19 off |
| 16 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Kingz G | 39 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 11-18 | 3-10 |
| Naithan George G | 38 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 2-13 | 0-9 |
| Donnie Freeman F | 34 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| William Kyle III F | 23 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| J.J. Starling G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 29 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5-10 | 5-8 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Akir Souare F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Calvin Russell III, Luke Fennell, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Kiyan Anthony
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 39 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 7-21 | 5-17 |
| Boopie Miller G | 36 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 9-15 | 5-9 |
| Corey Washington F | 36 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 35 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sam Walters F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Mitchell Holmes, Chance Puryear, Trey Utter, B.J. Edwards, Nigel Walls
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMU -3.5
ModelSMU -5.0
Model edgeSMU +1.5
W SMU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model160.6
Model edgeOver 6.1
W Over
Projected score
SYR 77.8 · SMU 82.8
SYR 69 · SMU 86
Win probability
SMU 67%
1st half
Spread
SMU -2.8
SMU -1.0
Total
75.0
77 points
Projected score
SYR 36.1 · SMU 38.9
SYR 38 · SMU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -5.5
2 → SYR
CloseSMU -3.5
2 pts toward SYR
Total
Open159.5
▼ 5
Close154.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +150 · SMU -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -5.5 · closed SMU -3.5 · moved 2 toward SYRmodel SMU -5
model SMU -5
Opened 159.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 5 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| SMU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SYR 1–2 SMUSMU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · SYR 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | SMU 78 @ SYR 79 | SYR +1.5 | SYR W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | SYR 53 vs SMU 73 | SMU -8.5 | SMU W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | SYR 75 @ SMU 77 | SMU -13.5 | SYR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
31 games played
Straight up
15-16
48% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-15
52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vs FSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @ BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vs MIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @ NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs ND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 2 | @ UNC | L 77-87 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @ UVA | L 59-72 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vs CAL | W 107-100 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | vsSMU | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 16 | @ DUKE | L 64-101 | +20.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNC | L 64-77 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @ WAKE | L 83-88 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | @ LOU | L 62-77 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 7 | vsPITT | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+1.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
+0.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+0.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
+2.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
−16.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−15.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
−1.5
3
@LOU
LOUL 62-77
−0.5
7
vsPITT
PITTL 69-71
−7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+5.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
−16.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+58.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
−0.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
+20.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−13.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
+18.5
3
@LOU
LOUL 62-77
−20.5
7
vsPITT
PITTL 69-71
−1.5
over 16under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
SMU
31 games played
Straight up
19-12
61% wins
Against the spread
13-18
42% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vsUNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsVT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vsUVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vsFSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vsNCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @PITT | W 86-67 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsND | W 89-81 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | @SYR | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsLOU | W 95-85 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vsBC | W 94-70 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | @CAL | L 69-73 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ STAN | L 75-95 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 4 | vsMIA | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | @FSU | L 78-91 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+14.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
−2.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−2.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+14.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+8.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−8.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
−21.5
4
vsMIA
MIAL 69-77
−9.5
7
@FSU
FSUL 78-91
−11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 18avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+5.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
+15.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−0.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+11.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+13.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−21.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
+14.5
4
vsMIA
MIAL 69-77
−10.5
7
@FSU
FSUL 78-91
+10.5
over 18under 13avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
15-16 overall · 6-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Pitt69–71
- L@ Louisville62–77
- L@ Wake Forest83–88
- Lvs North Carolina64–77
- L@ Duke64–101
3 days since their last game.
SMU
19-12 overall · 8-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida St78–91
- Lvs Miami69–77
- L@ Stanford75–95
- L@ California69–73
- Wvs Boston College94–70
3 days since their last game.