Hulman Center · at Indiana St · Conference game
Closing line
MUR -3.5✓ INST covered by 1.5
MUR -3.5✓ INST covered by 1.5Closing total163.5Under by 17.5
| MUR | This season | INST |
|---|---|---|
| 18-8 | Record | 8-15 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 14-9 |
| 15-11 | O/U | 10-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MUR 86–82 INST · ✓ MUR (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 43 | 31 | 74 |
| INST | 21 | 51 | 72 |
1st half: MUR 43, INST 21 (MUR by 22). The model had MUR by 2.3 and a total of 78.3 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MUR | INST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 23-51 45% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 36 14 off | Rebounds | 28 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King C | 34 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Roman Domon G | 33 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Javon Jackson G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 9-16 | 1-6 |
| JJ Traynor F | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Layne Taylor G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mason Miller F | 23 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| KJ Tenner G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brock Vice F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Shtolzberg, Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Hall G | 33 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Ian Scott F | 29 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Sterling Young G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Hunter Harding C | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Enel St. Bernard F | 28 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Camp Wagner G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Bean G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Caden Huttenlocker, Jo Van Buggenhout, Jayan Walker, Zyair Greene, Martin Kaupanger, Derek Vorst, Markus Harding
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMUR -3.5
ModelMUR -3.7
Model edgeMUR +0.2
L INST covered
Total
Market163.5
Model167.6
Model edgeOver 4.1
L Under
Projected score
MUR 85.7 · INST 82
MUR 74 · INST 72
Win probability
MUR 63%
1st half
Spread
MUR -2.3
MUR -22.0
Total
78.3
64 points
Projected score
MUR 40.3 · INST 38
MUR 43 · INST 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -3.5
no move
CloseMUR -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
no move
Close163.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MUR -180 · INST +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -3.5 · unchangedmodel MUR -3.5 matches the line
model MUR -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 163.5 · unchangedmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| INST | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MUR 3–4 INSTINST leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MUR has won the last 2 meetings · MUR 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | INST 81 @ MUR 85 | MUR -11.5 | INST W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | INST 75 @ MUR 85 | MUR -5.5 | MUR W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | MUR 74 @ INST 84 | INST +2.5 | INST W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | MUR 77 @ INST 89 | INST -14.5 | MUR W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | INST 72 @ MUR 63 | MUR +5.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Murray St
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vs MTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 18 | vs DRKE | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ VAL | W 85-79 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vs SIU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | @ UIC | W 81-77 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | vs BRAD | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | @ EVAN | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsVAL | W 92-79 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsINST | W 85-81 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @DRKE | L 90-101 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNI | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | vs ILST | L 65-70 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ BEL | L 86-103 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 3 | vsUIC | W 81-74 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 6 | @SIU | W 91-81 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 9 | vsUNI | L 60-89 | -4.5 | L −33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
+1.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+0.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−3.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
+14.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
+1.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+0.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−7.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
−15.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
−6.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-70
−8.5
31
@BEL
BELL 86-103
−13.5
3
vsUIC
UICW 81-74
+0.5
6
@SIU
SIUW 91-81
+8.5
9
vsUNI
UNIL 60-89
−33.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
−3.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+8.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−0.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
−10.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
−5.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+18.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−1.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
+34.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
+11.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-70
−24.5
31
@BEL
BELL 86-103
+25.5
3
vsUIC
UICW 81-74
−2.5
6
@SIU
SIUW 91-81
+14.5
9
vsUNI
UNIL 60-89
+3.5
over 15under 11avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana St
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vsBRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vsBEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @UNI | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @DRKE | L 72-74 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsEVAN | L 69-72 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 14 | vsILST | W 94-89 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | @MUR | L 81-85 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @BRAD | L 68-75 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsDRKE | L 62-76 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 27 | @UIC | L 74-76 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsVAL | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @EVAN | W 84-63 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 9 | vsSIU | L 65-80 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+1.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
+4.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−10.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+11.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
+7.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 68-75
+1.5
24
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-76
−17.5
27
@UIC
UICL 74-76
+3.5
31
vsVAL
VALL 72-76
−6.5
3
@EVAN
EVANW 84-63
+19.5
9
vsSIU
SIUL 65-80
−13.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+5.5
4
@DRKE
DRKEL 72-74
−3.5
10
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-72
−4.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 94-89
+34.5
17
@MUR
MURL 81-85
−1.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 68-75
−12.5
24
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-76
−13.5
27
@UIC
UICL 74-76
+2.5
31
vsVAL
VALL 72-76
+2.5
3
@EVAN
EVANW 84-63
+1.5
9
vsSIU
SIUL 65-80
−1.5
over 10under 13avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Murray St
18-8 overall · 10-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Northern Iowa60–89
- W@ S Illinois91–81
- Wvs UIC81–74
- L@ Belmont86–103
- Lvs Illinois St65–70
3 days since their last game.
Indiana St
8-15 overall · 3-11 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs S Illinois65–80
- W@ Evansville84–63
- Lvs Valparaiso72–76
- L@ UIC74–76
- Lvs Drake62–76
3 days since their last game.