Robins Center · at Richmond · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -5.5✓ RICH covered by 0.5
DAY -5.5✓ RICH covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Under by 19.5
| DAY | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 20-9 | Record | 14-14 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 11-18 | O/U | 12-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAY 76–72 RICH · ✓ DAY (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 40 | 25 | 65 |
| RICH | 32 | 28 | 60 |
1st half: DAY 40, RICH 32 (DAY by 8). The model had DAY by 2.5 and a total of 68.8 (actual 72).
Team stats
| DAY | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-43 49% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 4-23 17% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 6 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 32 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-9 |
| Keonte Jones G | 32 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 31 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 29 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 26 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Conner F | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Heard G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Sean Pouedet, Malcolm Thomas, Adam Njie, Makai Grant, Jaron McKie, Damon Friery, Evan Dickey, Will Maxwell
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Lopez G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Mike Walz C | 31 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Will Johnston G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Collin Tanner G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| David Thomas G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kirby Mooney, Dylan Homenick, Will Harper III, Donovan Richardson, Bryson McGlothin, Jonathan Beagle
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -4.5
1 → DAY
CloseDAY -5.5
1 pt toward DAY
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
DAY -218 · RICH +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -4.5 · closed DAY -5.5 · moved 1 toward DAYmodel DAY -4
model DAY -4
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAY -5.5 | DAY -4.0 | RICH +1.5 | W RICH covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.1 | Over 2.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DAY 75.6 · RICH 71.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DAY -2.5 | DAY -8.0 |
| 1H total | 68.8 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | DAY 35.7 · RICH 33.2 | DAY 40 · RICH 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| RICH | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DAY 3–2 RICHDAY leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · DAY 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | RICH 64 @ DAY 74 | DAY -14.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | DAY 64 @ RICH 69 | RICH +3.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | RICH 60 @ DAY 86 | DAY -8.5 | DAY W |
| Mar 12, 2021-22 | RICH 68 vs DAY 64 | DAY -2.5 | RICH W |
| Mar 1, 2021-22 | DAY 55 @ RICH 53 | RICH -2 | DAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dayton
29 games played
Straight up
20-9
69% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @ LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs GW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @ DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 16 | vsLUC | W 78-51 | -16.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @ LAS | L 64-67 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ JOES | L 74-81 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | vs URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 30 | @ SLU | L 71-102 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | vs SBU | W 72-70 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 6 | @ VCU | L 73-99 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 15 | vs DAV | W 70-59 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | @ GMU | W 82-67 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 21 | vsDUQ | W 78-66 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 24 | vsSLU | W 77-62 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 27 | @GW | W 68-66 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
+10.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−12.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
−13.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
−21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−5.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
−17.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
+5.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+17.5
21
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-66
+5.5
24
vsSLU
SLUW 77-62
+18.5
27
@GW
GWW 68-66
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
−12.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−6.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
+15.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
+18.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
+21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−2.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
+24.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
−11.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+11.5
21
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-66
−4.5
24
vsSLU
SLUW 77-62
−18.5
27
@GW
GWW 68-66
−18.5
over 11under 18avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vsGW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vsJOES | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vsLAS | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @SLU | L 63-88 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vsURI | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | @GW | L 69-85 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @VCU | L 69-77 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsDAV | L 54-79 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @URI | L 77-82 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 10 | vsGMU | W 82-70 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsVCU | L 67-78 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 18 | @DAV | L 63-65 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 21 | vsSBU | W 99-94 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 28 | @LUC | L 66-69 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−9.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
+12.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−10.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−4.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
27
@VCU
VCUL 69-77
+4.5
31
vsDAV
DAVL 54-79
−26.5
7
@URI
URIL 77-82
+0.5
10
vsGMU
GMUW 82-70
+15.5
14
vsVCU
VCUL 67-78
−3.5
18
@DAV
DAVL 63-65
+3.5
21
vsSBU
SBUW 99-94
+3.5
28
@LUC
LUCL 66-69
−5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−18.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
−20.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−11.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−7.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
27
@VCU
VCUL 69-77
−9.5
31
vsDAV
DAVL 54-79
−7.5
7
@URI
URIL 77-82
+16.5
10
vsGMU
GMUW 82-70
+12.5
14
vsVCU
VCUL 67-78
−9.5
18
@DAV
DAVL 63-65
−13.5
21
vsSBU
SBUW 99-94
+45.5
28
@LUC
LUCL 66-69
−11.5
over 12under 16avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dayton
20-9 overall · 11-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ G Washington68–66
- Wvs Saint Louis77–62
- Wvs Duquesne78–66
- W@ George Mason82–67
- Wvs Davidson70–59
4 days since their last game.
Richmond
14-14 overall · 5-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Loyola Chicago66–69
- Wvs St Bonaventure99–94
- L@ Davidson63–65
- Lvs VCU67–78
- Wvs George Mason82–70
3 days since their last game.