Yuengling Center · at South Florida · Conference game
Closing line
USF -17.5✓ USF covered by 5.5
USF -17.5✓ USF covered by 5.5Closing total156.5Under by 13.5
 CLT | This season | USF |
|---|---|---|
| 14-15 | Record | 21-8 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 18-11 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLT 72–87 USF · ✓ USF (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLT | 29 | 31 | 60 |
| USF | 44 | 39 | 83 |
1st half: CLT 29, USF 44 (USF by 15). The model had USF by 8.8 and a total of 74.5 (actual 73).
Team stats
| CLT | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 30-71 42% |
| 8-30 27% | 3-pointers | 13-35 37% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 44 18 off |
| 12 | Assists | 24 |
| 3 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| CLT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarne Elouna Eyenga F | 30 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Anton Bonke C | 29 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Dezayne Mingo G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Ben Bradford G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Arden Conyers F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Raúl Villar G | 23 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Damoni Harrison G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-9 |
| Spencer Elliott F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kylan Blackmon G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kuluel Mading C | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Nick Richart F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Major Freeman, Frank Oguche, David Gomez, Andrew Bailey, Ethan Butler
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Pinion G | 34 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 8-16 | 5-12 |
| Wes Enis G | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7-16 | 4-9 |
| CJ Brown G | 29 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 26 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Jones F | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Daimion Collins F | 18 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Devin Haid G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, Caleb Sanders, De'Ante Green
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSF -17.5
ModelUSF -15.0
Model edgeCLT +2.5
L USF covered
Total
Market156.5
Model159.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
CLT 72.2 · USF 87.3
CLT 60 · USF 83
Win probability
USF 91%
1st half
Spread
USF -8.8
USF -15.0
Total
74.5
73 points
Projected score
CLT 32.9 · USF 41.7
CLT 29 · USF 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -16.5
1 → USF
CloseUSF -17.5
1 pt toward USF
Total
Open152.5
▲ 4
Close156.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CLT +1200 · USF -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -16.5 · closed USF -17.5 · moved 1 toward USFmodel USF -15
model USF -15
Opened 152.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLT | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| USF | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CLT 1–2 USFUSF leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · CLT 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | USF 61 @ CLT 69 | CLT +2.5 | CLT W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | USF 76 @ CLT 61 | CLT -4.5 | USF W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CLT 69 @ USF 72 | USF -2.5 | USF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Charlotte
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-11
62% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs INST | W 92-76 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs TNTC | W 70-65 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAV | L 55-62 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 16 | @ VT | L 76-84 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | @ APP | L 63-65 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 27 | vs ILST | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs RICH | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | vs NCAT | W 74-57 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs USU | L 53-79 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ COFC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 18 | vs LAF | W 81-67 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs UIC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 30 | vs TEM | L 73-76 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs WICH | W 104-100 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 7 | @ UTSA | W 74-58 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICE | W 74-73 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 14 | vs TLSA | L 74-86 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 18 | @ ECU | W 73-70 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 23 | vs TULN | W 73-70 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @TEM | W 80-76 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 30 | vsRICE | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @WICH | L 64-74 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 8 | @ MEM | L 54-77 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 15 | vsUTSA | L 79-88 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 18 | @TLSA | L 74-79 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 21 | vsECU | W 68-56 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 25 | vs UNT | W 80-79 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 1 | @ FAU | L 76-77 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 4 | vs UAB | L 74-80 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+11.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−7.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−8.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+10.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−0.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
−4.5
28
vsRICH
RICHL 66-71
+1.5
2
vsNCAT
NCATW 74-57
+9.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 53-79
−15.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 67-74
−1.5
18
vsLAF
LAFW 81-67
+2.5
21
vsUIC
UICW 88-76
+10.5
30
vsTEM
TEML 73-76
−4.5
3
vsWICH
WICHW 104-100
+9.5
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 74-58
+9.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 74-73
−0.5
14
vsTLSA
TLSAL 74-86
−8.5
18
@ECU
ECUW 73-70
+4.5
23
vsTULN
TULNW 73-70
+0.5
28
@TEM
TEMW 80-76
+8.5
30
vsRICE
RICEW 80-70
+5.5
4
@WICH
WICHL 64-74
−0.5
8
@MEM
MEML 54-77
−12.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-88
−22.5
18
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-79
+7.5
21
vsECU
ECUW 68-56
+7.5
25
vsUNT
UNTW 80-79
+3.5
1
@FAU
FAUL 76-77
+5.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 74-80
−3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+15.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−11.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−26.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+14.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−4.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
+8.5
28
vsRICH
RICHL 66-71
−4.5
2
vsNCAT
NCATW 74-57
−13.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 53-79
−7.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 67-74
+0.5
18
vsLAF
LAFW 81-67
+10.5
21
vsUIC
UICW 88-76
+26.5
30
vsTEM
TEML 73-76
+10.5
3
vsWICH
WICHW 104-100
+63.5
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 74-58
−13.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 74-73
+9.5
14
vsTLSA
TLSAL 74-86
+13.5
18
@ECU
ECUW 73-70
+3.5
23
vsTULN
TULNW 73-70
−0.5
28
@TEM
TEMW 80-76
+16.5
30
vsRICE
RICEW 80-70
+8.5
4
@WICH
WICHL 64-74
−5.5
8
@MEM
MEML 54-77
−13.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-88
+18.5
18
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-79
+1.5
21
vsECU
ECUW 68-56
−21.5
25
vsUNT
UNTW 80-79
+25.5
1
@FAU
FAUL 76-77
+5.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 74-80
+7.5
over 18under 11avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Florida
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vsUSU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vsCOFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vsECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vsWICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 22 | @UAB | W 82-69 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 25 | vsFAU | W 89-75 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 28 | @TULN | W 97-83 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | @TEM | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 4 | vsUTSA | W 109-88 | -23.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 8 | vsTLSA | W 80-74 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 170.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | @WICH | W 66-58 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 15 | @FAU | W 83-81 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsMEM | W 87-66 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 25 | @RICE | W 75-56 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 1 | vsTULN | W 90-62 | -15.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Mar 5 | @MEM | W 96-89 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
+10.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
+8.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+5.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
−10.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
−2.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
+1.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
+5.5
15
@FAU
FAUW 83-81
−2.5
19
vsMEM
MEMW 87-66
+11.5
25
@RICE
RICEW 75-56
+7.5
1
vsTULN
TULNW 90-62
+12.5
5
@MEM
MEMW 96-89
−0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
−17.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
−2.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+21.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
+2.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
+32.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
−16.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
−36.5
15
@FAU
FAUW 83-81
−1.5
19
vsMEM
MEMW 87-66
−10.5
25
@RICE
RICEW 75-56
−26.5
1
vsTULN
TULNW 90-62
−3.5
5
@MEM
MEMW 96-89
+21.5
over 14under 15avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Charlotte
14-15 overall · 9-8 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UAB74–80
- L@ FAU76–77
- Wvs North Texas80–79
- Wvs East Carolina68–56
- L@ Tulsa74–79
4 days since their last game.
South Florida
21-8 overall · 14-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Memphis96–89
- Wvs Tulane90–62
- W@ Rice75–56
- Wvs Memphis87–66
- W@ FAU83–81
3 days since their last game.