Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · at FAU · Conference game
Closing line
USF -4.5✓ FAU covered by 2.5
USF -4.5✓ FAU covered by 2.5Closing total165.5Under by 1.5
| USF | This season | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-8 | Record | 12-11 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 14-9 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 12-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 86–82 FAU · ✓ USF (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 36 | 36 | 11 | 83 |
| FAU | 38 | 34 | 9 | 81 |
1st half: USF 36, FAU 38 (FAU by 2). The model had USF by 2.2 and a total of 78.4 (actual 74).
Team stats
| USF | FAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-73 42% | Field goals | 32-69 46% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 43 14 off | Rebounds | 41 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 43 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 10-17 | 5-9 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 38 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-15 | 4-8 |
| CJ Brown G | 35 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 31 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 29 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daimion Collins F | 18 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Devin Haid G | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, Gavin Hightower, Caleb Sanders, Tristan Beckford, De'Ante Green
| FAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Williams F | 39 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Josiah Parker F | 37 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Kanaan Carlyle G | 36 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Devin Vanterpool G | 36 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 9-17 | 3-7 |
| Isaiah Elohim G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Niccolo Moretti G | 34 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Xander Pintelon F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Vincent Neugebauer C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Amar Amkou G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Liam Dayco-Green, Max Langenfeld, Maxim Logue, Yohann Sissoko, Zion Sampaio, Lachlan Smith
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSF -4.5
ModelUSF -3.4
Model edgeFAU +1.1
W FAU covered
Total
Market165.5
Model167.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
L Under
Projected score
USF 85.6 · FAU 82.2
USF 83 · FAU 81
Win probability
USF 62%
1st half
Spread
USF -2.2
FAU -2.0
Total
78.4
74 points
Projected score
USF 40.3 · FAU 38.1
USF 36 · FAU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -4.5
no move
CloseUSF -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▲ 2
Close165.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USF -218 · FAU +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -4.5 · unchangedmodel USF -3.5
model USF -3.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 upmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| FAU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USF 2–2 FAUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · USF 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025-26 | FAU 75 @ USF 89 | USF -5.5 | USF W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | FAU 69 @ USF 63 | USF +2.5 | FAU W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | USF 72 @ FAU 94 | FAU -8.5 | FAU W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | FAU 86 @ USF 90 | USF +5.5 | USF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
24 games played
Straight up
16-8
67% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs UAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs ECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs WICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 22 | @UAB | W 82-69 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 25 | vsFAU | W 89-75 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 28 | @ TULN | W 97-83 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | @ TEM | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 4 | vs UTSA | W 109-88 | -23.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 8 | vsTLSA | W 80-74 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 170.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | @WICH | W 66-58 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
+10.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
+8.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+5.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
−10.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
−2.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
+1.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
−17.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
−2.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+21.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
+2.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
+32.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
−16.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
−36.5
over 13under 11avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
FAU
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BC | W 83-78 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vsCOFC | W 94-77 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 9 | @ LIB | L 68-88 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 20 | vs PAC | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LMU | W 76-65 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GMU | L 65-74 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | vs SBU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ FGCU | W 81-76 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs UALB | W 105-79 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 19 | @ SMC | L 75-88 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCF | L 80-85 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vsUTSA | W 110-70 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 4 | @TULN | L 66-69 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @UAB | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 11 | vs MEM | W 89-78 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 15 | vsWICH | W 85-67 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 18 | @TEM | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 21 | vsTULN | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 25 | @USF | L 75-89 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 29 | @MEM | L 65-92 | +3.5 | L −23.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 1 | vsECU | L 75-76 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 4 | vsTLSA | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | @ RICE | L 73-81 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBC
BCW 83-78
+3.5
8
vsCOFC
COFCW 94-77
+11.5
9
@LIB
LIBL 68-88
−12.5
20
vsPAC
PACW 82-59
+15.5
24
vsLMU
LMUW 76-65
+7.5
25
vsGMU
GMUL 65-74
−4.5
30
vsSBU
SBUL 65-70
−6.5
7
@FGCU
FGCUW 81-76
+2.5
13
vsUALB
UALBW 105-79
+7.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 75-88
+0.5
23
@UCF
UCFL 80-85
+3.5
31
vsUTSA
UTSAW 110-70
+23.5
4
@TULN
TULNL 66-69
−6.5
7
@UAB
UABW 76-71
+8.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 89-78
+9.5
15
vsWICH
WICHW 85-67
+14.5
18
@TEM
TEMW 79-73
+3.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 79-74
−5.5
25
@USF
USFL 75-89
−8.5
29
@MEM
MEML 65-92
−23.5
1
vsECU
ECUL 75-76
−11.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAL 76-78
+1.5
11
@RICE
RICEL 73-81
−11.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBC
BCW 83-78
+12.5
8
vsCOFC
COFCW 94-77
+14.5
9
@LIB
LIBL 68-88
+3.5
20
vsPAC
PACW 82-59
−13.5
24
vsLMU
LMUW 76-65
−3.5
25
vsGMU
GMUL 65-74
−4.5
30
vsSBU
SBUL 65-70
−11.5
7
@FGCU
FGCUW 81-76
+6.5
13
vsUALB
UALBW 105-79
+36.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 75-88
+17.5
23
@UCF
UCFL 80-85
+2.5
31
vsUTSA
UTSAW 110-70
+21.5
4
@TULN
TULNL 66-69
−23.5
7
@UAB
UABW 76-71
−15.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 89-78
+14.5
15
vsWICH
WICHW 85-67
−3.5
18
@TEM
TEMW 79-73
+3.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 79-74
−2.5
25
@USF
USFL 75-89
−2.5
29
@MEM
MEML 65-92
+4.5
1
vsECU
ECUL 75-76
−2.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAL 76-78
−8.5
11
@RICE
RICEL 73-81
+2.5
over 12under 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
16-8 overall · 9-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wichita St66–58
- Wvs Tulsa80–74
- Wvs UTSA109–88
- L@ Temple78–79
- W@ Tulane97–83
4 days since their last game.
FAU
12-11 overall · 6-6 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rice73–81
- Lvs Tulsa76–78
- Lvs East Carolina75–76
- L@ Memphis65–92
- L@ South Florida75–89
4 days since their last game.