Addition Financial Arena · at UCF · Conference game
Closing line
TTU -5.5✓ UCF covered by 13.5
TTU -5.5✓ UCF covered by 13.5Closing total159.5Over by 8.5
| TTU | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 16-4 | Record | 16-4 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 83–77 UCF · ✗ TTU (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 40 | 40 | 80 |
| UCF | 44 | 44 | 88 |
1st half: TTU 40, UCF 44 (UCF by 4). The model had TTU by 3.3 and a total of 74.8 (actual 84).
Team stats
| TTU | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-55 56% | Field goals | 32-65 49% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 6-13 46% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 23 4 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 19 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 40 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| JT Toppin F | 37 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 12-17 | 2-4 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 37 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 29 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 23 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Moseley F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LaTrell Hoover, Marial Akuentok, Nolan Groves, Leon Horner, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Burks F | 36 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 35 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Themus Fulks G | 34 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 9-23 | 1-3 |
| Riley Kugel G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| John Bol C | 29 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Johnson G | 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Elijah Hulsewe, George Beale Jr., Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Jeremy Foumena, Kris Parker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTTU -5.5
ModelTTU -5.3
Model edgeUCF +0.2
W UCF covered
Total
Market159.5
Model159.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
TTU 82.6 · UCF 77.2
TTU 80 · UCF 88
Win probability
TTU 68%
1st half
Spread
TTU -3.3
UCF -4.0
Total
74.8
84 points
Projected score
TTU 39 · UCF 35.7
TTU 40 · UCF 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -3.5
2 → TTU
CloseTTU -5.5
2 pts toward TTU
Total
Open159.5
no move
Close159.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TTU -238 · UCF +195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -3.5 · closed TTU -5.5 · moved 2 toward TTUmodel TTU -5.5 matches the line
model TTU -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 159.5 · unchangedmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| UCF | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TTU 1–2 UCFUCF leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UCF has won the last 2 meetings · TTU 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | UCF 87 @ TTU 83 | TTU -13.5 | UCF W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | TTU 61 @ UCF 75 | UCF -2.5 | UCF W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UCF 59 @ TTU 66 | TTU -8.5 | UCF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @ HOU | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLO | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vs UTAH | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs BYU | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @ BAY | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsHOU | W 90-86 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
+3.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−3.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
−3.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
+10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+17.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
−8.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−17.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
+2.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
−10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+10.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+34.5
over 10under 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @COLO | W 95-86 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 27 | vs ASU | W 79-76 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+12.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+21.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−6.5
over 7under 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
16-4 overall · 6-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Houston90–86
- W@ Baylor92–73
- Wvs BYU84–71
- Wvs Utah88–74
- W@ Colorado73–71
A week or more of rest.
UCF
16-4 overall · 5-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arizona St79–76
- W@ Colorado95–86
- L@ Iowa State57–87
- Lvs Arizona77–84
- W@ Kansas St82–73
4 days since their last game.