XFINITY Center · at Maryland · Conference game
Closing line
IOWA -10.5✓ MD covered by 17.5
IOWA -10.5✓ MD covered by 17.5Closing total138.5Over by 8.5
| IOWA | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 18-5 | Record | 9-14 |
| 15-8 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 14-9 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IOWA 77–67 MD · ✗ IOWA (79%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| MD | 37 | 40 | 77 |
1st half: IOWA 32, MD 37 (MD by 5). The model had IOWA by 5.7 and a total of 67.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| IOWA | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 25-47 53% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 25 11 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 1 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 32 | 4 | 6 | 13-21 | 4-10 |
| Tavion Banks G | 36 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Koch F | 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Kael Combs G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 21 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Isaia Howard G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Tate Sage G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trevin Jirak, Trey Thompson, Peyton McCollum, Joey Matteoni, Jacob Koch
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Mills G | 40 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 9-14 | 3-6 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 39 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Solomon Washington F | 29 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Darius Adams G | 27 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 25 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 30 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Aleks Alston F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Guillermo Del Pino, Myles Rice, Nick Blake, Lukas Sotell, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore, George Turkson Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -10.5
no move
CloseIOWA -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 4
Close138.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
IOWA -600 · MD +440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -10.5 · unchangedmodel IOWA -9.5
model IOWA -9.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 4 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IOWA -10.5 | IOWA -9.4 | MD +1.1 | W MD covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 143.6 | Over 5.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | IOWA 76.5 · MD 67.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IOWA -5.7 | MD -5.0 |
| 1H total | 67.2 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | IOWA 36.5 · MD 30.7 | IOWA 32 · MD 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| MD | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
IOWA 4–3 MDIOWA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · IOWA 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | MD 64 @ IOWA 83 | IOWA -10.5 | IOWA W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | IOWA 75 @ MD 101 | MD -11.5 | MD W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | IOWA 66 @ MD 78 | MD -5.5 | MD W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | MD 69 @ IOWA 67 | IOWA -4.5 | MD W |
| Jan 15, 2022-23 | MD 67 @ IOWA 81 | IOWA -5.5 | IOWA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa
23 games played
Straight up
18-5
78% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vsMD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vs ILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vs RUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs USC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @ WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vs NU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
over 14under 9avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
23 games played
Straight up
9-14
39% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vsORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vsIU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs PSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ILL | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @MSU | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vsPUR | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vs OSU | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | @MINN | W 67-62 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
−0.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−24.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
−14.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−13.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
+15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
+6.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−2.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
+7.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−6.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
−9.5
over 14under 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa
18-5 overall · 8-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northwestern76–70
- W@ Washington84–74
- W@ Oregon84–66
- Wvs USC73–72
- Wvs Rutgers68–62
3 days since their last game.
Maryland
9-14 overall · 2-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Minnesota67–62
- Lvs Ohio State62–82
- Lvs Purdue63–93
- L@ Michigan St48–91
- L@ Illinois70–89
3 days since their last game.