Jersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -12.5✓ RUTG covered by 0.5
NEB -12.5✓ RUTG covered by 0.5Closing total145.5Over by 2.5
| NEB | This season | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| 20-2 | Record | 9-14 |
| 13-9 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 6-16 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEB 79–66 RUTG · ✓ NEB (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 41 | 39 | 80 |
| RUTG | 27 | 41 | 68 |
1st half: NEB 41, RUTG 27 (NEB by 14). The model had NEB by 7.3 and a total of 67.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NEB | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 7-12 58% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 36 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-9 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 34 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Rienk Mast F | 32 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 11-20 | 1-4 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cale Jacobsen G | 26 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Braden Frager F | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Justin Bolis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Leo Curtis, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt, Jared Garcia
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harun Zrno G | 37 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Tariq Francis G | 30 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 6-16 | 2-7 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 27 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Powers G | 21 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Dylan Grant F | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamichael Davis G | 24 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 18 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Denis Badalau F | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Lino Mark, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Baye Fall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -12.5
ModelNEB -12.0
Model edgeRUTG +0.5
W RUTG covered
Total
Market145.5
Model144.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
L Over
Projected score
NEB 78.5 · RUTG 66.4
NEB 80 · RUTG 68
Win probability
NEB 85%
1st half
Spread
NEB -7.3
NEB -14.0
Total
67.9
68 points
Projected score
NEB 37.6 · RUTG 30.3
NEB 41 · RUTG 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -12.5
no move
CloseNEB -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 3
Close145.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
NEB -1000 · RUTG +650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -12.5 · unchangedmodel NEB -12
model NEB -12
Opened 142.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 1-9 10% |
| RUTG | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
NEB 2–4 RUTGRUTG leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · NEB 2-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | RUTG 85 @ NEB 82 | NEB -8.5 | RUTG W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | RUTG 56 @ NEB 67 | NEB -8.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | NEB 82 @ RUTG 87 | RUTG -3.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | NEB 82 @ RUTG 72 | RUTG -13.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 29, 2021-22 | RUTG 63 @ NEB 61 | NEB +2 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nebraska
22 games played
Straight up
20-2
91% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-16
27% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @ OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs ORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs WASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @ MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vsILL | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−7.5
over 6under 16avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rutgers
23 games played
Straight up
9-14
39% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vsOSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vsORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vsNU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @ IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vsIU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vsMSU | L 79-88 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ USC | L 75-78 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | @ UCLA | L 66-98 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+5.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+8.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
−18.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+28.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+6.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 66-98
+21.5
over 13under 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska
20-2 overall · 9-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois69–78
- L@ Michigan72–75
- W@ Minnesota76–57
- Wvs Washington76–66
- W@ Northwestern77–58
6 days since their last game.
Rutgers
9-14 overall · 2-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCLA66–98
- L@ USC75–78
- Lvs Michigan St79–88
- Lvs Indiana59–82
- L@ Iowa62–68
4 days since their last game.