Viejas Arena · at San Diego St · Conference game
Closing line
USU -1.5✓ SDSU covered by 18.5
USU -1.5✓ SDSU covered by 18.5Closing total146.5Over by 14.5
| USU | This season | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-4 | Record | 17-8 |
| 12-14 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 15-11 | O/U | 11-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 77–75 SDSU · ✗ USU (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| SDSU | 46 | 43 | 89 |
1st half: USU 33, SDSU 46 (SDSU by 13). The model had USU by 1.2 and a total of 70.7 (actual 79).
Team stats
| USU | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 30-55 55% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 22-33 67% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 34 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-13 | 2-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 32 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 26 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Drake Allen G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Zach Keller F | 19 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 25 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Karson Templin F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Garry Clark F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kingston Tosi, David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Luke Kearney, Brayden Boe
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 33 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-6 |
| Miles Byrd G | 31 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 24 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Miles Heide F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj DeGourville G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| BJ Davis G | 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Tae Simmons F | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Lawin, Raymar Gonzales, Thokbor Majak, Latrell Davis, Jeremiah Oden
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -1.5
ModelUSU -1.9
Model edgeUSU +0.4
L SDSU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model151.1
Model edgeOver 4.6
W Over
Projected score
USU 76.5 · SDSU 74.6
USU 72 · SDSU 89
Win probability
USU 56%
1st half
Spread
USU -1.2
SDSU -13.0
Total
70.7
79 points
Projected score
USU 36 · SDSU 34.7
USU 33 · SDSU 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -1.5
3 → USU
CloseUSU -1.5
3 pts toward USU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USU -110 · SDSU -110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -1.5 · closed USU -1.5 · moved 3 toward USUmodel USU -2
model USU -2
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| SDSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
USU 5–6 SDSUSDSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · USU has won the last 3 meetings · USU 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | SDSU 66 @ USU 71 | USU -6.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SDSU 71 @ USU 79 | USU -5.5 | USU W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | USU 67 @ SDSU 66 | SDSU -4.5 | USU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | SDSU 86 vs USU 70 | USU +4.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | SDSU 63 @ USU 68 | USU -3.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
26 games played
Straight up
22-4
85% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vs UNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vs WYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsSDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 10 | vsFRES | W 91-78 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vs MEM | W 99-75 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 18 | vsBOIS | W 75-56 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @NEV | L 77-80 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
−8.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+10.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
+9.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
−8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
+16.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+18.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
−20.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
+10.5
over 15under 11avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vsAF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsBOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsFRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vsCSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @USU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsWYO | W 72-63 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @AF | W 88-54 | -22.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vsNEV | W 71-57 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | vsGCU | L 63-73 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | @CSU | L 74-83 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
+1.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−3.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
+6.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−17.5
21
@CSU
CSUL 74-83
−12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
−10.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−6.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+2.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
−11.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−3.5
21
@CSU
CSUL 74-83
+17.5
over 11under 14avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
22-4 overall · 13-3 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada77–80
- Wvs Boise St75–56
- Wvs Memphis99–75
- Wvs Fresno St91–78
- W@ Wyoming85–83
4 days since their last game.
San Diego St
17-8 overall · 12-4 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado St74–83
- Lvs Grand Canyon63–73
- Wvs Nevada71–57
- W@ Air Force88–54
- Wvs Wyoming72–63
4 days since their last game.