Wintrust Arena · at DePaul · Conference game
Closing line
DEP -2.5✓ DEP covered by 6.5
DEP -2.5✓ DEP covered by 6.5Closing total149.5Over by 13.5
 XAV | This season | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | Record | 8-6 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 4-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: XAV 73–75 DEP · ✓ DEP (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 37 | 40 | 77 |
| DEP | 40 | 46 | 86 |
1st half: XAV 37, DEP 40 (DEP by 3). The model had DEP by 1.1 and a total of 69.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| XAV | DEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-69 41% | Field goals | 26-52 50% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 25-31 81% |
| 34 15 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Borovicanin F | 37 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 35 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Tre Carroll F | 34 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 7-16 | 1-8 |
| Roddie Anderson G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-16 | 2-6 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Walker G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| All Wright G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Henry Thole, Mier Panoam, Anthony Robinson, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
| DEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Smith G | 38 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Layden Blocker G | 35 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| CJ Gunn G | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-8 |
| NJ Benson F | 31 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Banks F | 23 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Maclin G | 28 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Fabian Flores C | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Theo Pierre-Justin F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonas Johnson, Isaiah Medina, Kruz McClure, Nate Kasher, Amsal Delalic, Ilija Milijasevic, Jeremy Lorenz, Khaman Maker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDEP -2.5
ModelDEP -2.0
Model edgeXAV +0.5
L DEP covered
Total
Market149.5
Model148.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
L Over
Projected score
XAV 73.1 · DEP 75.1
XAV 77 · DEP 86
Win probability
DEP 57%
1st half
Spread
DEP -1.1
DEP -3.0
Total
69.5
77 points
Projected score
XAV 34.2 · DEP 35.3
XAV 37 · DEP 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDEP -2.5
no move
CloseDEP -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 3
Close149.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
XAV +124 · DEP -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DEP -2.5 · unchangedmodel DEP -2
model DEP -2
Opened 146.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| DEP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
XAV 7–2 DEPXAV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · XAV has won the last 6 meetings · XAV 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | DEP 68 @ XAV 85 | XAV -12.5 | XAV W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | XAV 77 @ DEP 63 | DEP +4.5 | XAV W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | DEP 58 @ XAV 91 | XAV -19.5 | XAV W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | XAV 93 @ DEP 68 | DEP +13.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | DEP 84 vs XAV 89 | XAV -12.5 | DEP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Xavier
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vs CREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vs CONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
over 8under 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
DePaul
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-10
29% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHST | W 92-62 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs STO | W 72-64 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUF | L 53-66 | -18.5 | L −31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | vs NU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs GWEB | W 93-62 | -21.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs DETM | W 95-75 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 28 | vs GT | W 75-61 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs LSU | L 63-96 | +5.5 | L −27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UAPB | W 76-72 | -23.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 9 | vs MORG | W 92-49 | -21.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ WICH | W 61-58 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 16 | @ SJU | L 66-79 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vsCONN | L 54-72 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @ VILL | L 66-71 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+5.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−14.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−31.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+3.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
+9.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+0.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+12.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
−27.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−19.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
+21.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
+10.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
+6.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−5.5
31
@VILL
VILLL 66-71
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+10.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−11.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−34.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+14.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
−0.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+18.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
−11.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−8.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
−9.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
−26.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
−2.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−7.5
31
@VILL
VILLL 66-71
−2.5
over 4under 10avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Xavier
9-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UConn67–90
- W@ Georgetown80–77
- Lvs Creighton57–98
- Wvs Missouri St75–57
- Wvs Cincinnati79–74
3 days since their last game.
DePaul
8-6 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Villanova66–71
- Lvs UConn54–72
- L@ St John's66–79
- W@ Wichita St61–58
- Wvs Morgan St92–49
3 days since their last game.