McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
FSU -5.5✓ FSU covered by 3.5
FSU -5.5✓ FSU covered by 3.5Closing total158.5Under by 7.5
| FSU | This season | GT |
|---|---|---|
| 14-14 | Record | 11-17 |
| 16-12 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 17-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 82–77 GT · ✓ FSU (66%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 41 | 39 | 80 |
| GT | 36 | 35 | 71 |
1st half: FSU 41, GT 36 (FSU by 5). The model had FSU by 3.0 and a total of 74.1 (actual 77).
Team stats
| FSU | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 22-62 35% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 13-38 34% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 44 18 off | Rebounds | 34 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones G | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-5 |
| Robert McCray V G | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 8-15 | 3-4 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 27 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Alex Steen F | 23 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 22 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 25 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| AJ Swinton F | 25 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Cam Miles G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jasen Lopez, Xavier Osceola, Max Garcia-Plata, Alier Maluk, Jalen Crawford, Shah Muhammad
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 37 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 6-16 | 1-5 |
| Akai Fleming G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 31 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4-14 | 3-9 |
| Lamar Washington G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 16 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kam Craft G | 27 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 5-11 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peyton Marshall C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davi Remagen, Mouhamed Sylla, Eric Chatfield Jr., Dyllan Thompson, Brandon Stores Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -5.5
no move
CloseFSU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▼ 1
Close158.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
FSU -238 · GT +195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -5.5 · unchangedmodel FSU -5
model FSU -5
Opened 159.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158.5 matches the line
model 158.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FSU -5.5 | FSU -4.8 | GT +0.7 | L FSU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 158.4 | Under 0.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | FSU 81.6 · GT 76.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FSU -3.0 | FSU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 74.1 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | FSU 38.5 · GT 35.5 | FSU 41 · GT 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| GT | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
FSU 3–3 GTSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · FSU 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | GT 78 @ FSU 91 | FSU -9.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | FSU 76 @ GT 85 | GT +3.5 | GT W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | GT 71 @ FSU 82 | FSU -4.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | GT 61 vs FSU 60 | FSU +2.5 | FSU W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | GT 64 @ FSU 75 | FSU -3.5 | FSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs DUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @ SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs CAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vs STAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vs UVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | @ VT | W 92-69 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | vs BC | W 80-72 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @ CLEM | W 70-65 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 24 | vsMIA | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+27.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
−3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
+13.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
−7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+4.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
+3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
−10.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
+3.5
over 13under 15avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia Tech
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vsGASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @DUKE | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsBC | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vsSYR | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @MIA | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs PITT | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | @NCSU | W 78-74 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | vsCLEM | L 63-77 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 27 | @VT | L 65-71 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNC | L 75-91 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 4 | @CAL | L 85-90 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 7 | @STAN | L 72-95 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | vsWAKE | L 67-83 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ND | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 18 | vsUVA | L 68-94 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | @ LOU | L 70-87 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 167.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+21.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
+5.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
−7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+5.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
−21.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
+21.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−5.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
+3.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
−6.5
4
@CAL
CALL 85-90
+2.5
7
@STAN
STANL 72-95
−13.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEL 67-83
−12.5
14
@ND
NDL 74-89
−9.5
18
vsUVA
UVAL 68-94
−12.5
21
@LOU
LOUL 70-87
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
−27.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
+7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
+9.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
−2.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−2.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
−19.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
+5.5
4
@CAL
CALL 85-90
+22.5
7
@STAN
STANL 72-95
+15.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEL 67-83
−8.5
14
@ND
NDL 74-89
+12.5
18
vsUVA
UVAL 68-94
+11.5
21
@LOU
LOUL 70-87
−10.5
over 17under 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
14-14 overall · 7-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami73–83
- W@ Clemson70–65
- Wvs Boston College80–72
- W@ Virginia Tech92–69
- Lvs Virginia58–61
4 days since their last game.
Georgia Tech
11-17 overall · 2-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisville70–87
- Lvs Virginia68–94
- L@ Notre Dame74–89
- Lvs Wake Forest67–83
- L@ Stanford72–95
A week or more of rest.