Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
GCU -19.5✓ GCU covered by 6.5
GCU -19.5✓ GCU covered by 6.5Closing total143.5Over by 2.5
| GCU | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 18-11 | Record | 3-26 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 9-20 |
| 11-18 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GCU 78–59 AF · ✓ GCU (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 43 | 43 | 86 |
| AF | 24 | 36 | 60 |
1st half: GCU 43, AF 24 (GCU by 19). The model had GCU by 11.4 and a total of 64.4 (actual 67).
Team stats
| GCU | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-55 56% | Field goals | 19-45 42% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 24 2 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 33 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Henley G | 26 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Makaih Williams G | 25 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Efe Demirel C | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dusty Stromer G | 26 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Dennis Evans C | 20 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Evan Boisdur G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cole Pepe G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Caleb Shaw, Luke Shaw, Braylon Johnson, Wilhelm Breidenbach, Jack Sawyer
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 32 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Kam Sanders G | 32 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Eli Robinson F | 29 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 23 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Walker F | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Riley Dering F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Hinds G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Keaton Frisch, Brendan Martin, Elliott Taite, Kyle Marshall, Josh Gatete, Chris Catchings, Sam Imade
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGCU -19.5
ModelGCU -19.0
Model edgeAF +0.5
L GCU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model137.4
Model edgeUnder 6.1
L Over
Projected score
GCU 78.2 · AF 59.2
GCU 86 · AF 60
Win probability
GCU 95%
1st half
Spread
GCU -11.4
GCU -19.0
Total
64.4
67 points
Projected score
GCU 37.9 · AF 26.5
GCU 43 · AF 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGCU -19.5
no move
CloseGCU -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 4
Close143.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
GCU -2800 · AF +1300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GCU -19.5 · unchangedmodel GCU -19
model GCU -19
Opened 139.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 4 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| AF | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GCU 1–0 AFGCU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · GCU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025-26 | AF 57 @ GCU 81 | GCU -26.5 | AF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grand Canyon
29 games played
Straight up
18-11
62% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs SJSU | W 76-58 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ UNM | L 64-87 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | vs USU | W 84-74 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs SDSU | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ FRES | W 68-57 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 27 | @ NEV | L 60-66 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vsBOIS | W 86-69 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 3 | vsAF | W 81-57 | -26.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | @ UNLV | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 11 | vsUNM | L 64-70 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @SJSU | W 94-79 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 17 | @SDSU | W 73-63 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | vsWYO | L 65-70 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 25 | vsUNLV | W 80-67 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 28 | @USU | L 69-74 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
+1.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
−16.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+15.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
+2.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
+6.5
27
@NEV
NEVL 60-66
−2.5
30
vsBOIS
BOISW 86-69
+15.5
3
vsAF
AFW 81-57
−2.5
7
@UNLV
UNLVL 78-80
−4.5
11
vsUNM
UNML 64-70
−7.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUW 94-79
+3.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUW 73-63
+17.5
21
vsWYO
WYOL 65-70
−12.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-67
+5.5
28
@USU
USUL 69-74
+4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
−7.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
+4.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+7.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
−6.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
−20.5
27
@NEV
NEVL 60-66
−17.5
30
vsBOIS
BOISW 86-69
+13.5
3
vsAF
AFW 81-57
+0.5
7
@UNLV
UNLVL 78-80
+9.5
11
vsUNM
UNML 64-70
−14.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUW 94-79
+33.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUW 73-63
−3.5
21
vsWYO
WYOL 65-70
−9.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-67
−3.5
28
@USU
USUL 69-74
−4.5
over 11under 18avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
29 games played
Straight up
3-26
10% wins
Against the spread
9-20
31% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vsIUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vsUSU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsFRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDSU | L 54-88 | +22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vsCSU | L 74-91 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @FRES | L 63-93 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 17 | @UNM | L 61-98 | +28.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNLV | L 66-91 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsSJSU | L 80-86 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 28 | @WYO | L 62-66 | +20.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
−11.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
−0.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
−15.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
−8.5
21
vsUNLV
UNLVL 66-91
−8.5
24
vsSJSU
SJSUL 80-86
+0.5
28
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
+16.5
covered 9didn’t cover 20avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
+2.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
+27.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
+13.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
+10.5
21
vsUNLV
UNLVL 66-91
+3.5
24
vsSJSU
SJSUL 80-86
+20.5
28
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
−17.5
over 17under 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grand Canyon
18-11 overall · 11-7 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Utah State69–74
- Wvs UNLV80–67
- Lvs Wyoming65–70
- W@ San Diego St73–63
- W@ San José St94–79
3 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-26 overall · 0-18 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wyoming62–66
- Lvs San José St80–86
- Lvs UNLV66–91
- L@ New Mexico61–98
- L@ Fresno St63–93
3 days since their last game.