Mitchell Center · at South Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
USA -3.5✓ TXST covered by 11.5
USA -3.5✓ TXST covered by 11.5Closing total137.5Over by 34.5
 TXST | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 15-11 | Record | 17-8 |
| 12-14 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXST 68–73 USA · ✗ USA (65%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 40 | 35 | 15 | 90 |
| USA | 33 | 42 | 7 | 82 |
1st half: TXST 40, USA 33 (TXST by 7). The model had USA by 2.5 and a total of 66.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| TXST | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 30-55 55% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 26 2 off |
| 19 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone G | 42 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| DJ Hall F | 40 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 8-16 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Tay Knox C | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Bolden G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Franck Emmou G | 27 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Robert Fields C | 22 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Deke Thompson, Dimp Pernell, Ky Pernell, Isaiah Barganier, Jaelyn Lee, Cameron Simpson
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 45 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 6-17 | 5-13 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Chaze Harris G | 40 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 11-15 | 0-0 |
| Randy Brady F | 32 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| JJ Wheat G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Brian Hawthorne, Samuel Shoptaw
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -2.5
1 → USA
CloseUSA -3.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open139.5
▼ 2
Close137.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TXST +154 · USA -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -2.5 · closed USA -3.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel USA -4.5
model USA -4.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USA -3.5 | USA -4.4 | USA +0.9 | L TXST covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 141.1 | Over 3.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TXST 68.4 · USA 72.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USA -2.5 | TXST -7.0 |
| 1H total | 66.1 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | TXST 31.8 · USA 34.3 | TXST 40 · USA 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| USA | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TXST 5–3 USATXST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · TXST has won the last 2 meetings · TXST 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | USA 65 @ TXST 67 | TXST -3.5 | USA W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | USA 92 @ TXST 93 | TXST -1.5 | USA W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | TXST 65 @ USA 70 | USA -6.5 | TXST W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | TXST 55 @ USA 72 | USA -2.5 | USA W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | USA 66 @ TXST 74 | TXST -2.5 | TXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas St
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vs ARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vsUSA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vs UL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @ CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ JMU | L 57-82 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 28 | vs MRSH | W 72-68 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vs ODU | W 81-64 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 4 | @ GASO | W 77-71 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs WMU | W 77-61 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTROY | W 74-62 | +5.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsULM | W 95-84 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−19.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
+7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+14.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
+10.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
+9.5
11
vsTROY
TROYW 74-62
+17.5
14
vsULM
ULMW 95-84
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−4.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
−7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+1.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
−3.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
−8.5
11
vsTROY
TROYW 74-62
−4.5
14
vsULM
ULMW 95-84
+29.5
over 14under 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vsGASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vsCCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vs GAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @ APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ARST | W 92-88 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 16 | @MRSH | L 80-84 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+12.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+30.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+13.5
over 14under 11avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas St
15-11 overall · 9-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe95–84
- Wvs Troy74–62
- Wvs W Michigan77–61
- W@ GA Southern77–71
- Wvs Old Dominion81–64
5 days since their last game.
South Alabama
17-8 overall · 9-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marshall80–84
- W@ Arkansas St92–88
- W@ Southern Miss84–78
- Wvs Buffalo81–69
- L@ App State57–65
3 days since their last game.