Trojan Arena · at Troy · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -9.5✓ TROY covered by 0.5
TROY -9.5✓ TROY covered by 0.5Closing total148.5Under by 40.5
 USA | This season | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 7-5 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 74–81 TROY · ✓ TROY (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| TROY | 30 | 29 | 59 |
1st half: USA 23, TROY 30 (TROY by 7). The model had TROY by 4.4 and a total of 72.7 (actual 53).
Team stats
| USA | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-50 32% | Field goals | 21-61 34% |
| 3-18 17% | 3-pointers | 13-42 31% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 4-7 57% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 6 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 34 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Chaze Harris G | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Adam Olsen F | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Randy Brady F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 27 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| John Broom G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| JJ Wheat G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Samuel Shoptaw, Desmond Williams, Peyton Law, Maxwell Land
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 37 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 7-15 | 4-10 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 33 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Theo Seng F | 31 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Victor Valdes F | 31 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-6 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 30 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 5-12 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Cross G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Corbin Green, Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Emmanuel Clarton, Javen Colbert, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -7.5
2 → TROY
CloseTROY -9.5
2 pts toward TROY
Total
Open142.5
▲ 6
Close148.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
USA +350 · TROY -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -7.5 · closed TROY -9.5 · moved 2 toward TROYmodel TROY -7.5
model TROY -7.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 6 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -9.5 | TROY -7.5 | USA +2.0 | L TROY covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 155.2 | Over 6.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | USA 73.9 · TROY 81.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -4.4 | TROY -7.0 |
| 1H total | 72.7 | 53 |
| 1H projected score | USA 34.2 · TROY 38.5 | USA 23 · TROY 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| TROY | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
USA 4–4 TROYSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · USA 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | USA 55 @ TROY 65 | TROY -3.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | TROY 63 @ USA 64 | USA -3.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | USA 79 @ TROY 83 | TROY -8.5 | USA W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | TROY 71 @ USA 74 | USA -0.5 | USA W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | USA 57 @ TROY 61 | TROY -3.5 | TROY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
over 7under 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Troy
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +17.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vsTOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs MRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vsTXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
over 7under 5avg +17.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
9-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Louisiana63–58
- L@ Texas St65–67
- W@ UL Monroe96–92
- Lvs North Texas57–58
- L@ ETSU65–91
3 days since their last game.
Troy
7-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas St100–80
- Wvs Marshall70–63
- W@ UAB86–85
- Lvs West Georgia89–93
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves74–64
3 days since their last game.