The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -3.5✓ AUB covered by 8.5
AUB -3.5✓ AUB covered by 8.5Closing total151.5Under by 7.5
| AUB | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 11-7 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 6-12 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AUB 80–75 MISS · ✓ AUB (66%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 28 | 50 | 78 |
| MISS | 27 | 39 | 66 |
1st half: AUB 28, MISS 27 (AUB by 1). The model had AUB by 3.0 and a total of 72.8 (actual 55).
Team stats
| AUB | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 22-61 36% |
| 2-17 12% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 32-39 82% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 36 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 35 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 34 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 28 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 23 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kevin Overton G | 24 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Filip Jovic C | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Magwood, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, CJ Williams, Reed Trapp
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 35 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Malik Dia F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| James Scott F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 33 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 6-19 | 1-4 |
| Travis Perry G | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| Corey Chest F | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Zach Day G | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Koren Johnson, Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -1.5
2 → AUB
CloseAUB -3.5
2 pts toward AUB
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
AUB -180 · MISS +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -1.5 · closed AUB -3.5 · moved 2 toward AUBmodel AUB -5
model AUB -5
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -3.5 | AUB -4.9 | AUB +1.4 | W AUB covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 155.5 | Over 4.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | AUB 80.2 · MISS 75.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -3.0 | AUB -1.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | AUB 37.9 · MISS 34.9 | AUB 28 · MISS 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| MISS | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
AUB 9–0 MISSAUB leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 9 meetings · AUB 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MISS 57 vs AUB 62 | AUB -12.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | MISS 76 @ AUB 106 | AUB -12.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | AUB 92 @ MISS 82 | MISS +4.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | AUB 91 @ MISS 77 | MISS +3.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | MISS 59 @ AUB 82 | AUB -12.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Auburn
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
over 12under 6avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
6-12
33% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vsNCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vsARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vsMIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 12avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
over 11under 7avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Auburn
11-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Carolina71–67
- L@ Missouri74–84
- Wvs Arkansas95–73
- Lvs Texas A&M88–90
- L@ Georgia100–104
3 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
11-7 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Mississippi St68–67
- W@ Georgia97–95
- Wvs Missouri76–69
- Lvs Arkansas87–94
- L@ Oklahoma70–86
3 days since their last game.