Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -9.5✓ FIU covered by 8.5
LIB -9.5✓ FIU covered by 8.5Closing total152.5Over by 26.5
 FIU | This season | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| 9-13 | Record | 19-3 |
| 13-9 | ATS | 11-11 |
| 11-11 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FIU 72–81 LIB · ✓ LIB (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | 40 | 40 | 9 | 89 |
| LIB | 41 | 39 | 10 | 90 |
1st half: FIU 40, LIB 41 (LIB by 1). The model had LIB by 5.2 and a total of 71.5 (actual 81).
Team stats
| FIU | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-71 45% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 14-28 50% |
| 17-19 89% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 42 17 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 10 | Assists | 19 |
| 11 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| FIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawdie Jackson G | 40 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 7-17 | 1-1 |
| Corey Stephenson G | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 6-16 | 5-10 |
| Eric Dibami C | 38 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Hamed Olayinka F | 34 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Julian Mackey G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brit Harris G | 24 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Ibrahim Olajuwon C | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Thiago Sucatzky G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Mikey Kelvin II, Ashton Williamson, Aydan Clinton, Renato Ruiz, Kennedy Brown, Amarion Nimmers, Gvidas Gicevicius, Jorge Santos
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland F | 43 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 39 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| JJ Harper G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Colin Porter G | 36 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Drew Grimes, Isaiah Ihnen, TJ Drain, JC Shirer Jr., Zander Yates, Torr Sorensen, Brady Kester
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIB -9.5
ModelLIB -8.9
Model edgeFIU +0.6
W FIU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
FIU 72 · LIB 80.9
FIU 89 · LIB 90
Win probability
LIB 78%
1st half
Spread
LIB -5.2
LIB -1.0
Total
71.5
81 points
Projected score
FIU 33.2 · LIB 38.3
FIU 40 · LIB 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -10.5
1 → FIU
CloseLIB -9.5
1 pt toward FIU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
FIU +440 · LIB -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -10.5 · closed LIB -9.5 · moved 1 toward FIUmodel LIB -9
model LIB -9
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| LIB | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FIU 1–4 LIBLIB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 3 meetings · FIU 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025-26 | LIB 97 @ FIU 94 | FIU +4.5 | FIU W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | FIU 45 @ LIB 58 | LIB -13.5 | FIU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | LIB 82 @ FIU 59 | FIU +5.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | LIB 71 @ FIU 76 | FIU +6.5 | FIU W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | FIU 69 @ LIB 78 | LIB -13.5 | FIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FIU
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEB | L 66-96 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ LSU | L 81-98 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs JMU | L 72-80 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | vs OMA | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs FGCU | W 89-83 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 6 | vs JAX | W 88-65 | -5.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ MIA | L 81-98 | +22.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIU | W 86-79 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vsLIB | L 94-97 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs NMSU | W 89-74 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs UTEP | W 76-64 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 7 | @ JXST | L 64-71 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ MOST | L 71-79 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @ KENN | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs SHSU | L 63-76 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | @UTEP | L 77-83 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @NMSU | W 81-78 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsJXST | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | @ MTSU | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @ WKU | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 12 | vs DEL | L 66-68 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vs LT | W 77-64 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
−8.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+4.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−10.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
+8.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+7.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+17.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+5.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+0.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+16.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
+5.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−5.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−5.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
+2.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 63-76
−15.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 77-83
−7.5
24
@NMSU
NMSUW 81-78
+10.5
28
vsJXST
JXSTL 74-78
−7.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUW 88-84
+9.5
7
@WKU
WKUL 70-80
−5.5
12
vsDEL
DELL 66-68
−10.5
14
vsLT
LTW 77-64
+9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEB
NEBL 66-96
+5.5
13
@LSU
LSUL 81-98
+20.5
24
vsJMU
JMUL 72-80
−3.5
26
vsOMA
OMAW 74-61
−22.5
3
vsFGCU
FGCUW 89-83
+17.5
6
vsJAX
JAXW 88-65
+7.5
16
@MIA
MIAL 81-98
+17.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 86-79
+3.5
28
vsLIB
LIBL 94-97
+38.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-74
+5.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 76-64
−12.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 64-71
−15.5
10
@MOST
MOSTL 71-79
−3.5
14
@KENN
KENNL 86-89
−0.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 63-76
−29.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 77-83
+8.5
24
@NMSU
NMSUW 81-78
−0.5
28
vsJXST
JXSTL 74-78
+3.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUW 88-84
+17.5
7
@WKU
WKUL 70-80
−9.5
12
vsDEL
DELL 66-68
−13.5
14
vsLT
LTW 77-64
−5.5
over 11under 11avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
22 games played
Straight up
19-3
86% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsKENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vsJXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsNMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vsDEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vsMOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @UTEP | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
−2.5
over 12under 10avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FIU
9-13 overall · 5-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana Tech77–64
- Lvs Delaware66–68
- L@ Western KY70–80
- W@ MTSU88–84
- Lvs Jax State74–78
5 days since their last game.
Liberty
19-3 overall · 14-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UTEP73–64
- W@ New Mexico St77–75
- Wvs Missouri St79–76
- W@ Delaware75–69
- W@ MTSU81–65
5 days since their last game.