Don Haskins Center · at UTEP · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -6.5✓ LIB covered by 2.5
LIB -6.5✓ LIB covered by 2.5Closing total139.5Under by 2.5
| LIB | This season | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| 18-3 | Record | 7-15 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 11-11 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 72–66 UTEP · ✓ LIB (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| UTEP | 26 | 38 | 64 |
1st half: LIB 28, UTEP 26 (LIB by 2). The model had LIB by 3.9 and a total of 64.8 (actual 54).
Team stats
| LIB | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 10-18 56% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny G | 38 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 38 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 35 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6-14 | 3-9 |
| Colin Porter G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| JJ Harper G | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 8-11 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zander Carter G | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Josh Smith F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zander Yates F | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Ryan Jones Jr., TJ Drain, JC Shirer Jr., Drew Grimes, Torr Sorensen, Brady Kester, Isaiah Ihnen
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Blackwell G | 38 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Kaseem Watson F | 34 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Elijah Jones F | 33 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| KJ Thomas G | 33 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 6-7 | 2-3 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cassius Brooks G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| LA Hayes G | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye C | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Horton III G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: C.J. Smith, Tyreese Watson, David Tubek, Jordan Hernandez, Bobby Montgomery Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -7.5
1 → UTEP
CloseLIB -6.5
1 pt toward UTEP
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LIB -270 · UTEP +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -7.5 · closed LIB -6.5 · moved 1 toward UTEPmodel LIB -6.5 matches the line
model LIB -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -6.5 | LIB -6.3 | UTEP +0.2 | L LIB covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 138.3 | Under 1.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | LIB 72.3 · UTEP 66 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -3.9 | LIB -2.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 34.4 · UTEP 30.4 | LIB 28 · UTEP 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| UTEP | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LIB 4–3 UTEPLIB leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 3 meetings · LIB 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | UTEP 69 @ LIB 80 | LIB -13.5 | UTEP W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | UTEP 60 vs LIB 81 | LIB -7.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | LIB 76 @ UTEP 69 | UTEP +1.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UTEP 72 @ LIB 70 | LIB -8.5 | UTEP W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | UTEP 66 vs LIB 57 | LIB -3.5 | UTEP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
21 games played
Straight up
18-3
86% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs DEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vs MOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
over 12under 9avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTEP
22 games played
Straight up
7-15
32% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 15 | @ USU | L 51-75 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs W&M | L 63-74 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs UAB | L 59-75 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ SEA | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ HAW | L 61-66 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | vs NORF | L 71-72 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs NDSU | W 76-66 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | @LT | L 63-75 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @MOST | L 55-79 | +3.5 | L −20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | @FIU | L 64-76 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | vsMTSU | W 83-80 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsWKU | L 56-68 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 15 | @DEL | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @LIB | L 69-80 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsFIU | W 83-77 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | vsMOST | L 57-62 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsLT | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEL | W 70-55 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | @SHSU | L 66-70 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsNMSU | W 91-88 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 11 | @JXST | W 69-64 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+12.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
−9.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
−20.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−5.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+6.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−8.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+2.5
17
@LIB
LIBL 69-80
+2.5
22
vsFIU
FIUW 83-77
+7.5
24
vsMOST
MOSTL 57-62
−3.5
28
vsLT
LTL 59-69
−12.5
31
vsDEL
DELW 70-55
+8.5
4
@SHSU
SHSUL 66-70
+6.5
7
vsNMSU
NMSUW 91-88
+4.5
11
@JXST
JXSTW 69-64
+11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
+7.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
+2.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−12.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+25.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−20.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+13.5
17
@LIB
LIBL 69-80
+11.5
22
vsFIU
FIUW 83-77
+8.5
24
vsMOST
MOSTL 57-62
−20.5
28
vsLT
LTL 59-69
−2.5
31
vsDEL
DELW 70-55
−3.5
4
@SHSU
SHSUL 66-70
−9.5
7
vsNMSU
NMSUW 91-88
+40.5
11
@JXST
JXSTW 69-64
−1.5
over 10under 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
18-3 overall · 13-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Mexico St77–75
- Wvs Missouri St79–76
- W@ Delaware75–69
- W@ MTSU81–65
- Wvs Delaware67–51
3 days since their last game.
UTEP
7-15 overall · 6-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Jax State69–64
- Wvs New Mexico St91–88
- L@ Sam Houston66–70
- Wvs Delaware70–55
- Lvs Louisiana Tech59–69
3 days since their last game.