When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
16 games · 2025 · Kansas City Chiefs · pick one to list those games
19% went over. Of the 3 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 16 games
2025 · Kansas City Chiefs · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 18 |
KC -3.5 | 35.5 | 391226 | U | LV Q1 | 12–14 |
2025 · Week 17 |
DEN -13.5 | 37.5 | 3132333 | U | KC Q1 | 20–13 |
2025 · Week 16 |
KC -3.5 | 37.5 | 0152535 | U | TEN Q1 | 9–26 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KC -5.5 | 41.5 | 10232929 | U | LAC Q1 | 16–13 |
2025 · Week 14 |
KC -4.5 | 41.5 | 3102030 | U | HOU Q1 | 20–10 |
2025 · Week 12 |
KC -4.5 | 49.5 | 723294043 | U | IND Q1 Lead lost |
20–23 |
2025 · Week 11 |
KC -4.5 | 45.5 | 9122641 | U | DEN Q1 Lead lost |
19–22 |
2025 · Week 9 |
KC -2.5 | 53.5 | 7344149 | U | BUF Q1 | 21–28 |
2025 · Week 8 |
KC -11.5 | 48.5 | 0142835 | U | KC Q3 | 7–28 |
2025 · Week 7 |
KC -13.5 | 45.5 | 7213131 | U | KC Q2 | 0–31 |
2025 · Week 6 |
KC -2.5 | 51.5 | 9233047 | U | KC Q1 | 17–30 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KC -3.5 | 45.5 | 7213559 | Q4 | JAX Q3 Late over |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BAL -2.5 | 49.5 | 10304357 | Q4 | KC Q2 | 20–37 |
2025 · Week 3 |
KC -5.5 | 44.5 | 3152231 | U | KC Q3 | 22–9 |
2025 · Week 2 |
PHI -1.5 | 46.5 | 7202337 | U | PHI Q3 | 20–17 |
2025 · Week 1 |
KC -3.5 | 47.5 | 7193248 | Q4 | LAC Q1 Late over |
21–27 |
KC
LV
DEN
TEN
LAC
HOU
IND
BUF
WSH
DET
JAX
BAL
NYG
PHIWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 63% 10
Q2 13% 2
Q3 25% 4
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 69% and covered 85% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 92% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.