When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2024 · New York Jets · pick one to list those games
59% went over. Of the 10 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 35% of games.
All 17 games
2024 · New York Jets · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 18 |
NYJ -2.5 | 39.5 | 6212452 | Q4 | NYJ Q2 | 20–32 |
2024 · Week 17 |
BUF -10.5 | 44.5 | 7123354 | Q4 | BUF Q2 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 16 |
LAR -2.5 | 46.5 | 6151528 | U | LAR Q4 | 19–9 |
2024 · Week 15 |
NYJ -3.5 | 41.5 | 14203357 | Q4 | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MIA -6.5 | 45.5 | 928385258 | Q4 | NYJ Q1 | 26–32 |
2024 · Week 13 |
NYJ -1.5 | 41.5 | 14373747 | Q4 | SEA Q4 | 26–21 |
2024 · Week 11 |
NYJ -4.5 | 43.5 | 3203355 | Q4 | IND Q1 Lead lost |
28–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NYJ -1.5 | 46.5 | 17303737 | U | ARI Q1 | 6–31 |
2024 · Week 9 |
NYJ -2.5 | 43.5 | 071734 | U | NYJ Q4 | 13–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
NYJ -7.5 | 41.5 | 13203047 | Q4 | NE Q1 Late over |
22–25 |
2024 · Week 7 |
NYJ -2.5 | 40.5 | 10283852 | Q4 | PIT Q2 | 15–37 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BUF -1.5 | 42.5 | 17374043 | Q4 | BUF Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
23–20 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MIN -2.5 | 42.5 | 10242740 | U | MIN Q1 | 17–23 |
2024 · Week 4 |
NYJ -8.5 | 39.5 | 061319 | U | DEN Q1 | 10–9 |
2024 · Week 3 |
NYJ -6.5 | 39.5 | 7172427 | U | NYJ Q1 | 3–24 |
2024 · Week 2 |
NYJ -3.5 | 42.5 | 7173441 | U | NYJ Q4 Late cover flip |
24–17 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SF -3.5 | 43.5 | 10233951 | Q4 | SF Q2 Late over |
19–32 |
MIA
NYJ
BUF
LAR
JAX
SEA
IND
ARI
HOU
NE
PIT
MIN
DEN
TEN
SFWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 41% 7
Q2 24% 4
Q3 0% 0
Q4 35% 6
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 53% and covered 47% of 17 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 60% and covered 67% of 15 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.